Posts Tagged ‘uncertainty’

Posted by Moishe Alexander

Resilient consumer spending, large capital projects
and improved employment will continue to support the St. John’s region housing market
throughout the remainder of 2009 and in 2010, according to Canada Mortgage and
Housing Corporation’s (CMHC’S) Housing Market Outlook – St. John’s report released
today.
Housing starts are expected to end 2009 at 1,675 units, with 1,800 starts forecast for
2010. The resale or MLS®1 market will post 3,450 sales by the end of this year and reach
the 3,575 level in 2010. The average MLS® house price is expected to end 2009 at
$215,500 compared to $187,571 in 2008 and increase to $225,500 in 2010.
“Despite the recent global economic uncertainty, strong fundamentals will continue to
support demand for housing throughout the remainder of 2009 and in 2010,” said Chris
Janes, senior market analyst with CMHC in Newfoundland and Labrador. “Overall, the
positive outlook for the St. John’s area housing market will be reinforced by favourable
trends in demographic and economic fundamentals, as well as on-going economic
momentum fuelled by a lengthy list of major capital projects,” added Janes.
As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of
experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable
and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing
market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the
housing industry in making vital decisions.

Posted by Moishe Alexander
Housing starts have started to recover and are expected to continue to improve in the second half of 2009. Starts are expected to reach 141,900 for the year and will increase to 164,900 for 2010, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) fourth quarter Housing Market Outlook, Canada Edition report.

“We expect housing markets across Canada to strengthen leading into and over the course of 2010 as economic conditions improve”, said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist for CMHC.

“Demand for existing homes has rebounded since the beginning of the year. In addition, lower inventory levels characterize both the new and existing home markets. As a result, stronger housing demand will be reflected in higher levels of housing starts in 2010”, said Mr. Dugan.

The strong pace of MLS 1 sales seen in the second and third quarters of this year reflects, in part, activity that was delayed in the previous two quarters and is not likely to be sustained. The level of sales is expected to move back closer in line with anticipated economic conditions. As a result, existing home sales, as measured by the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), will reach 441,300 units in 2009 and increase to 445,150 units in 2010. The average MLS price is expected to be $312,950 in 2009 and $324,500 in 2010.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.

The forecasts included in the Housing Market Outlook are based on information available as of October 1, 2009. Where applicable, forecast ranges are also presented in order to reflect economic uncertainty.