Randy Hoback, Member of Parliament for Prince Albert, on behalf of the Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), along with MLA for Prince Albert Carlton Darryl Hickie, on behalf of the Honourable Donna Harpauer, Minister of Social Services and Minister Responsible for Saskatchewan Housing Corporation, today announced support for a local housing initiative for seniors.

Funding in the amount of $2.3 million has been made available for the initiative through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, the federal government’s plan to stimulate the economy and create jobs during the global recession. The federal and provincial governments are contributing equally to an overall investment of $132 million under the amended Canada – Saskatchewan Affordable Housing Program Agreement.

Canada’s Economic Action Plan provides $400 million, over two years, to build new rental housing for low-income seniors. Overall, the Economic Action Plan includes $2 billion for new and existing social housing, plus up to $2 billion in loans to municipalities for housing-related infrastructure.

The amendment to the Canada – Saskatchewan Affordable Housing Program Agreement, which included funding under Canada’s Economic Action Plan, signed in May 2009, brought federal housing support of $74 million to the province. The Government of Saskatchewan will match that commitment for a total of $148 million to assist those in housing need and, in collaboration with other levels of government and community partners, to make various types of affordable housing programs possible. In Saskatchewan, federal-provincial housing programs are delivered through the Saskatchewan Housing Corporation.

“Our government is giving a hand-up to Canadian seniors who need it most during these tough economic times,” said MP Hoback. “Year 2 of Canada’s Economic Action Plan will continue to create jobs and stimulate the economy here in Prince Albert and in all corners of the country.”

”Our government is pleased to help seniors in need of affordable housing right here in Prince Albert,” MLA Hickie said. “This project exemplifies a commitment on our part to work with the federal government to improve the quality of life for lower income Saskatchewan seniors, and to help them remain in their communities.”

The project will consist of an 18-unit single level garden apartment, with 16 two-bedroom units and two wheelchair accessible one-bedroom units. The project was undertaken by the Prince Albert Community Housing Society (PACH), a non-profit corporation that owns and manages a housing portfolio of more than 260 rental units for people in need of affordable housing within Prince Albert.

Canada’s Economic Action Plan builds on the Government of Canada’s commitment in 2008 of more than $1.9 billion, over the next five years, to improve and build new affordable housing and help the homeless.

The Barrie CMA rental market experienced softer conditions in 2009. The average vacancy rate for purpose- built rental apartments rose up by 0.3 percentage points this year to 3.8 percent. Several factors contributed to easing demand, including a rebound in homeownership demand and high youth unemployment. Continued moderate migration into Barrie supported demand.

Supply, also, was virtually unchanged, increasing by only 15 units. There were no new purpose-built apartments, but the number of units in the existing universe increased for a variety of reasons.

With a softer rental market the growth in average monthly rent for a two-bedroom unit slowed significantly from last year and came in at 1.2 per cent, well the below the maximum rent increase stipulated by the province.

The economic adjustment has affected employment prospects in Barrie for all age cohorts, but in particular the youngest age cohort of 15-24. This group makes up a significant proportion of Barrie’s labour force, given the region’s overall young population and is also a key source of rental demand. The proportion of the labour force in Barrie made up by the 15-24 year-old age group this year has averaged close to 20 per cent. Both full-time employment and part-time employment for this age group have been trending down. With a slowly recovering economy, young people who had been renting returned to the parental home or doubled up with other youth, while those currently living with parents are staying at home until the economy recovers further.

The rate of migration into Barrie has slowed. Nevertheless migration into Barrie from within Ontario is higher than it is in most other Ontario centres. Moveover, slightly fewer people are moving away from Barrie to other parts of the country. Immigration and births added to the slower, but still significant, population growth rate. A growing and relatively young population continues to support rental demand.

With mortgage carrying costs down due to record-low mortgage rates, first-time buyers have exited rental into homeownership thereby increasing the overall vacancy rate.

The decline in mortgage rates in 2009 put mortgage carrying costs back to where they were in 2006. These payments hit a low in the second quarter, which coincided with an improvement in the employment prospects for the 25-44 year old age group. This is the same age group from which many first-time buyers are drawn, so the surge in existing home sales beginning in the second quarter likely included many purchases by people who were renting at the time.

Renters who move into homeownership usually have relatively high incomes compared to other renters and often occupy the larger, more expensive rental accommodation before their move. Given the significance of the secondary rental market in Barrie, in particular, the number of rented single-detached homes, a number of first-time buyers would be coming from the secondary rental market. As a result, the movement to home ownership in Barrie resulted in a relatively small increase in the primary rental market vacancy rate since some the impact was absorbed in the secondary rental market.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts reached 158,500 units in November. This is an increase from 157,400 units started in October, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“The improvement in housing starts continued in November,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “Despite a small decline in November’s multiple home construction, overall starts numbers were up due to a solid increase in singles starts.” The November total is the highest of the year.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased by 0.7 per cent to 141,100 units in November. Urban multiple starts decreased slightly from 72,500 units in October to 71,300 units in November. Single urban starts increased by 3.4 per cent to 69,800 units in November.

November’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased by 10 per cent in Quebec, by 8.2 per cent in the Prairies and by 6.2 per cent in British Columbia. The rate of urban starts decreased by 8.3 per cent in Ontario and by 9.8 per cent in Atlantic Canada.

Rural starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 17,400 units in November.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.

Innovative approaches developed by the private sector, not-for-profit sector and all levels of government are increasingly driving the production of affordable housing, particularly for low-income households, reports the 2009 Canadian Housing Observer, released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“The 2009 Canadian Housing Observer is unique in providing a comprehensive annual examination of the key factors influencing the development of housing, a vital sector for Canada,” said Karen Kinsley, President of CMHC.

The 2009 Observer, CMHC’s flagship publication, details the private sector’s innovations in producing affordable housing, including providing direct support to tenants or homeowners through interest-free loans and measures to reduce housing costs through creative approaches to design, construction and renovation.

For their part, not-for-profit organizations are finding ways to provide affordable housing without on-going government support. For example, the Habitat for Humanity model is based on the concept of “partnership housing” where the potential homeowners contribute sweat equity and work alongside community volunteers and businesses to build homes.

Some municipal governments are also adopting new housing policies, including housing trust funds, donating land for affordable housing and reducing or waiving municipal fees.

Underpinning these efforts is support from federal and provincial/territorial governments, through flexible agreements that allow for innovative ideas, as well as financial and in-kind contributions.

Other key findings in this year’s Observer include:

* Nationally, the incidence of core housing need decreased from 13.7 per cent in 2001 to 12.7 per cent in 2006, with most regions in the country following the national trend;
* The effects of the aging of Canada’s population over the next three decades and the important implications this will have on homebuilders, mortgage lenders and policy makers;
* The effect of immigration on population and household growth will become increasingly important;
* Housing starts were above the 200,000 unit level for the seventh consecutive year and housing-related spending contributed just over $300 billion to the Canadian economy in 2008;
* A water-sensitive approach to urban design is an important part of efforts to encourage the development of healthy, energy-efficient sustainable homes and communities.

In addition to the Observer, CMHC offers detailed online statistical housing information and analysis. This includes CMHC’s Housing in Canada Online interactive tool.

The new home market in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) will see sales activity rise slightly this year in comparison to 2008. The low-rise housing segment will be credited for the increase in sales in 2009 while the high-rise sector will outperform in terms of sales growth next year. Total new home sales will reach 28,500 units this year and remain steady at 29,000 in 2010 — well below the annual average for the new millennium.

For the first time since 2006, low-rise homes will account for the majority of new home sales in the GTA in 2009 and 2010. New low rise home sales will rise by 37 percent this year to 17,000. Although this level is still well below the high reached in 2002, it represents a complete turnaround from last year when sales dropped by over 40 per cent. Low borrowing costs this year are a clear contributor to the rebound in low-rise sales, as is a lack of supply in the resale market. A rise in new listings in the resale market and a reduction in affordability next year will dampen demand for new single-detached homes in the second half of 2010. Total low-rise home sales will move lower in 2010 to 15,500 units — still above the 2008 level. Strong sales for singles in the first part of next year coupled with stable demand for less-expensive semi-detached and row houses throughout 2010 will provide some support for the low-rise segment.

A tougher selling environment for high-rise homes will lead to a sales decline of 23 percent this year to 11,500 units — the lowest level since 2003. More project launches, an improving employment situation for younger workers and a shift towards lower-priced housing types in the second half of next year will boost new high-rise sales in 2010 by 17 percent to 13,500 units. Construction delays and a heightened sense of uncertainty regarding new condominium projects this year has turned buyers away from pre- construction sales offices. At the same time, less project launches have created fewer new options for buyers. Faced with high levels of inventory relative to demand, developers have begun offering generous buyer incentives and reconfiguring remaining units to attract more sales centre traffic. Sales levels have responded and are now much higher than at the beginning of the year. Still, sales are down by over 40 percent in the year-to-date to August and even with further improvement will register an overall decline in 2009. However, current sales momentum will carry into 2010, leading to a much better performance for 2010.

Total housing starts are on pace to decline 52 per cent in 2009, reaching 5,550 units. This would represent the lowest level of activity since 1991. A bulk of the reduction in total housing starts is stemming from the multi-family market, where inventory levels remain elevated. As economic and housing market conditions improve, home builders are forecast to increase production by 21 per cent to 6,700 units in 2010.

Single-detached starts have rapidly improved since the beginning of the year when builders cut production in response to lower sales and rising inventory. After the first half of the year, starts were down 33 per cent, though solid gains since June have lessened the decline. Despite the increased starts activity in recent months, this resurgence will not offset the lower production earlier in the year. Single-detached starts in 2009 are on pace to decline four per cent to 4,200 units compared with 4,387 units in 2008. As inventories have declined and sales have increased, new construction of homes is expected to pick-up throughout the forecast period. Single-detached builders are anticipated to increase production by 17 per cent in 2010, with 4,900 units breaking ground.

Lower mortgage rates and builder incentives have supported new home sales, and there has been less competition from the resale market. The inventory of complete and unabsorbed units also peaked at the beginning of 2009 and has since been on the decline. Total supply, which is units in inventory and those under construction, has been reduced to a level not experienced since 2001. With a low level of supply and improved demand, building intentions and construction activity is on the rise. In June, July, and August, building permits were up on average by 59 per cent over the same period in 2008. Single starts in the third quarter have increased 45 per cent above the previous year, following 10 consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines. More spec homes are also breaking ground. At the beginning of 2009, less than five per cent of homes under construction were spec units. In August, however, spec homes under

year when builders cut production in response to lower sales and rising inventory. After the first half of the year, starts were down 33 per cent, though solid gains since June have lessened the decline. Despite the increased starts activity in recent months, this resurgence will not offset the lower production earlier in the year. Single-detached starts in 2009 are on pace to decline four per cent to 4,200 units compared with 4,387 units in 2008. As inventories have declined and sales have increased, new construction of homes is expected to pick-up throughout the forecast period. Single-detached builders are anticipated to increase production by 17 per cent in 2010, with 4,900 units breaking ground. Lower mortgage rates and builder incentives have supported new home sales, and there has been less competition from the resale market. The inventory of complete and unabsorbed units also peaked at the beginning of 2009 and has since been on the decline. Total supply, which is units in inventory and those under construction, has been reduced to a level not experienced since 2001. With a low level of supply and improved demand, building intentions and construction activity is on the rise. In June, July, and August, building permits were up on average by 59 per cent over the same period in 2008. Single starts in the third quarter have increased 45 per cent above the previous year, following 10 consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines. More spec homes are also breaking ground. At the beginning of 2009, less than five per cent of homes under construction were spec units. In August, however, spec homes under

The New Home Price Index (NHPI) has started to stabilize, after declining from its peak in the first quarter of 2008. In the first seven months of 2009, the NHPI was down on average of 7.7 per cent, compared to the same period a year earlier. A majority of the decline is attributed to the house component, as reduced construction activity has taken pressure off input costs such as labour and materials. Land costs are down slightly from a year ago, but for the most part lot prices have held firm. By the end of 2009, new home prices are anticipated to gain more ground and the NHPI will end the year down by an average of 6.9 per cent from the 2008 average level. In the face of higher starts, stability in new home prices is expected to improve into 2010 with the NHPI increasing two per cent. The monthly absorbed average price of a new home has declined since 2008 and appears to be leveling at around $535,000. The average price in August was $534,954 and in September was $537,225, down year-over-year by eight and ten per cent respectively. Readers should note that the absorbed price reflects units absorbed in a given month, which is not necessarily the month when the price was negotiated. The average absorbed price is forecast to fall from $581,800 in 2008 to $560,000 in 2009. With stronger demand conditions and more manageable inventory levels expected for the balance of 2009 and throughout 2010, the average absorbed price is anticipated to increase modestly. Despite the month-over-month gains projected for 2010, it will not be enough to push the yearly average above 2009 levels. In 2010, the average absorbed price will decline 1.4 per cent to $552,000.

The Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development Canada and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), along with Jim Kenyon, Minister Responsible for the Yukon Housing Corporation, today launched the construction phase of two new housing projects for seniors in Faro and Teslin.

The $4.7 million federal contribution to these projects comes through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, the government’s plan to stimulate the economy and create jobs during the global recession. Recognizing the distinctive needs of the North, Canada’s Economic Action Plan provides $200 million, over two years, including $50 million for Yukon, to support the renovation and the construction of new social housing units. Overall, the Economic Action Plan includes $2 billion for new and existing social housing, plus up to $2 billion in loans to municipalities for housing-related infrastructure.

“The Government of Canada is committed to providing Canadians a hand up to those who need it the most,” said Minister Finley. “Through this investment we are helping make an important difference in the lives of individuals and families in Faro and Teslin who are trying to build a better future for themselves.”

“With funding from Canada, Yukon government is launching several important housing projects in the territory,” said Minister Kenyon. “Access to affordable and accommodating housing gives seniors the option of staying in their community as they grow older. Faro and Teslin will benefit from retaining this important generation within their population.”

Canada’s Economic Action Plan (CEAP) will provide $2 million to construct a seniors’ residence in Faro, which has one of the highest ratio of seniors and near-seniors among Yukon’s municipalities. The residence will contain six 1-bedroom suites.

CEAP funding of $2.7 million was approved for seniors’ residence in Teslin. The residence will contain seven 1-bedroom suites and one 2-bedroom suite. Two of the seven units are for seniors with a disability.

Construction in both communities is underway and will continue throughout the winter, generating employment for trades. Completion is anticipated for the fall of 2010.

Both buildings are wood frame construction and feature SuperGreen energy efficiency standards and Accommodating Home standards for a barrier-free living environment.

Canada’s Economic Action Plan builds on the Government of Canada’s commitment in 2008 of more than $1.9 billion, over the next five years, to improve and build new affordable housing and help the homeless.

Economic growth in New Brunswick was limited in 2009 as exporters in the province continued to face a decline in global demand for commodities. Fewer exports have also had a negative impact on the manufacturing and transportation sectors in the province. No significant increase in economic growth is expected until a global recovery begins to take hold in 2010.

Despite economic uncertainty, the long term outlook for New Brunswick contains positive elements which will serve to support housing demand. For example, the last provincial budget for 2009-2010 focused on job creation, with $1.2 billion set aside for infrastructure programs and support to New Brunswick businesses. Notwithstanding, the return of sustained economic expansion will rely heavily on capital investment.

Employment in New Brunswick’s three large urban centres has been stable in 2009. As a result, positive net-migration continued in both Moncton and Fredericton, as each centre benefited from solid service, retail and construction sectors. Conversely, in-migration in Saint John, which has been muted in recent years, is not likely to change during the remainder of this year and in 2010. Reduced housing demand in all three centres has led to a lower level of activity in both the new home and resale markets. Employment levels are expected to remain flat in 2010; however, this should not significantly affect the housing market.

The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

Mortgage rates have fallen over the course of 2009, but are now expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Posted mortgage rates will gradually increase through 2010, but will do so at a slow pace. For 2010, the one-year posted mortgage rate will be in the 3.50-4.25 per cent range, while three and five-year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 4.50-6.00 per cent range.

Employment in the Charlottetown area is forecast to post a slight decline this year before posting a moderate increase in 2010. During the first three quarters of 2009, the decrease in employment in Charlottetown was dispersed among all industries except the public service sector, which posted a small increase. Despite the modest declines in employment in 2009, the capital region remains attractive for job seekers compared to other parts of the province. This fact has lead to the continued trend of urbanization, as Islanders continue to move to the capital region from more rural parts of the province.

Positive net-migration is one of the key factors that has contributed to the strong housing market over the past seven years. As of July 2009, the population of Prince Edward Island was estimated at 140,985; an increase of 1,534 persons or 1.1 per cent from 2008. While this increase in population was the result of both a natural increase and positive net migration, the vast majority was the result of the latter. From July 2008 to July 2009, 1,793 international immigrants chose the Island as their new home, which is the highest annual level since recording began in 1971. The main reason for this substantial increase in international migration was the increased effort that the province has allocated to this initiative. The results seen in 2007 and 2008 are expected to be the start of a new upward trend in international migration with preliminary data for 2009 indicating that the year could end up showing an even larger inflow of people. The local housing market is benefitting from this initiative as many of these households are relocating to the capital region, and as such require housing within all tenure types. While the aforementioned data

While the aforementioned data on immigration is positive, it is for the province as a whole. It is important to note that the capital region consistently outperforms the province. For the last census period ending in 2006, the Charlottetown CA, which encompasses the entire urban area around the city, recorded a population growth of 1,391 people or 2.4 per cent. While there was some natural population growth during this period, the majority of the increase was due to in-migration. For the Charlottetown area it had been typical that about 70 per cent of the people moving to the capital region came from elsewhere in the province, while the remainder were from other regions of the country. This ratio had remained fairly constant since the early 1990′s, but since 2006 it has started to change. The reason for this is twofold, with both the movement of people to the west and the recent influx in international immigrants. As earlier referenced, the influx of international immigration is expected to end up being even stronger in 2009 than 2008, due to the popularity of the province’s programs with new immigrants. This will especially benefit the capital region as the majority of the people are settling in the area. This trend should continue to bolster the local housing market over the forecast period, as the population continues to grow.

As a result of the aforementioned market forces, the Charlottetown housing market is expected to exceed the level set in 2008. Although single starts in Charlottetown recorded a decline so far in 2009, multiple starts at the end of the third quarter are on track to have the strongest year since 1988. Single starts are expected to decline 25 per cent in 2009, when compared to 2008. This decline was expected, as many potential homeowners are taking a wait and see approach, before making any large purchases. In addition, single home construction in Charlottetown posted seven years of impressive growth that mirrored the national trend. As such, the decline in 2009 is seen as the market returning to a more sustainable level. In contrast to the decline in singles, multiple starts will end the year close to setting a new record high. The strength in multiple starts is the result of several factors. The increase in multiple unit starts also created a situation where there was a temporary oversupply of rental units that was not fully absorbed until the end of 2007. However, one area where new construction has continued to remain strong is multiple units intended for homeownership. A key reason for the increased activity in this part of the market is the relatively lower cost of semi-detached and row units compared to single-detached homes. Despite the forecasted increase in semi-detached units over the next two years, it is expected that the overall housing market will remain strong during the forecast period. The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

Mortgage rates have fallen over the course of 2009, but are now expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Posted mortgage rates will gradually increase through 2010, but will do so at a slow pace. For 2010, the one-year posted mortgage rate will be in the 3.50-4.25 per cent range, while three and five-year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 4.50-6.00 per cent range.

Total housing starts in New Brunswick are expected to see a
moderate rebound to 3,525 units in 2010 following a decline to 3,400 units in 2009, according to
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) Housing Market Outlook released today.
“Following an expected reduction in MLS® sales and residential construction throughout 2009, a
moderate increase in activity is expected next year in New Brunswick,” said Claude Gautreau,
CMHC’s senior market analyst for New Brunswick. Although housing activity has diminished in
2009, economic fundamentals in the province remain strong, highlighted by historically high
employment levels. These conditions are expected to persist over the forecast period.
In New Brunswick’s three large urban areas – Saint John, Moncton and Fredericton – residential
starts will trail last year’s pace to the end of the year, followed by a moderate rebound in 2010.
The existing home market is expected to follow the same general trend with stronger price
growth next year and increased sales.
As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to
help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes.
CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and
knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.