Posts Tagged ‘review’

January 13, 2009 — Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic down turn is affecting the Edmonton Alberta rental market

The Edmonton Alberta rental market is experiencing vacancy rate increases. In fact, the rental vacancy rate has increased substantially from 1.5% in 2007 to 2.4% in 2008.

It is tougher times for landlords in Edmonton Alberta to rent their units.

APARTMENT VACANCIES MOVE HIGHER IN 2008

Edmonton, Alberta - Credit Lana, Flickr

Edmonton, Alberta - Credit Lana, Flickr

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reported that the Edmonton Alberta area is experiencing an increased amount of vacancies in rental housing in all sectors. Much of this is attributed to migration out of the province of Alberta, which has seen over 1600 families leave the Edmonton Alberta area in 2008. CMHC attributes some of this up-turn in the vacancy rate to competition from secondary rental market of the units, and investor owned condominium apartment increases in 2008.

INCREASED SUPPLY OF PURPOSE-BUILT RENTAL UNITS

According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, private homeowners and investors in Edmonton Alberta have increased the rental housing stock by 21% for the first 10 months of 2008. This is caused a surplus of rental housing stock in the Edmonton Alberta area.

SECONDARY RENTAL MARKET IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT TO THE HOMEOWNER TO SUPPLEMENT THEIR INCOME DURING THIS WORLD ECONOMIC CRISIS

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report states that since there is a migration problem in Edmonton, and the unemployment rate is up 3.4%, a strong demand has occurred for rental units to be created by home owners, which is called the “secondary rental market”. Pressure is being excreted on the local municipality cities to relax their zoning and building codes to permit additional secondary rental units in private homes.

APARTMENT RENT INCREASES MODERATE IN 2008

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report states that last fall in Edmonton Alberta, a one-bedroom apartment that used to rent for $764.00 is now renting for $783.00 compared to the same period last year. A two-bedroom unit that rented last year for $744.00 are now renting for $762.00, which is approximately 25% increases.

Government sources say that with this increase cost, welfare recipients are hard pressed to rent anything in Edmonton Alberta.

INCENTIVES RETURN AS VACANCIES INCREASE

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report that in 2007, and then in 2008, landlords have started offering tenants incentives for the first time in 15 years to rent apartments. Incentives often include benefits such as one-month free rent, or 2-year leases (with fixed rental payments), extra appliances, free cable TV, or free parking and or high-speed Internet.

RENTAL AFFORDABILITY INDICATOR

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation affordability indicator indicates that the value of 100 suggests that 30% of the median income of rental households is necessary to rent a two bedroom apartment, well above the Canadian average.

NATIONAL VACANCY RATE DECREASED IN OCTOBER 2008

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reports that the vacancy rate in Canada’s 34 major centers decreased to 2.2% from 2.6% in October of 2008, for the same period the year before. Vacancy rates were as high as 14.6% in Windsor to a low of 0.3% in Kelowna BC.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reports that the highest average monthly rent for a two bedroom apartment is in Calgary, Alberta with a monthly rental cost of $1,148.00 to a low of $543.00 in Sherbrooke, Quebec.

You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64379/64379_2008_A01.pdf

January 15, 2009 – Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic turndown is affecting the Winnipeg Manitoba housing market

Winnipeg - Credit jimj_wpg, Flickr

Winnipeg - Credit jimj_wpg, Flickr

Winnipeg Manitoba has had a serious decrease in housing starts and is returning to the historical low levels of housing starts of years gone by and the housing starts are down 15%. CMHC is forecasting 2,875 units single-detached starts, 25 semi-detached units, 15 apartment condominium ownership units, and 20 apartment rental units, for a total of 2,935 housing starts for 2008. This will decrease by 700 units in 2009.

SINGLE-DETACHED FORMS OF HOUSING POISED FOR ANOTHER STRONG YEAR

This year Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that Winnipeg will surpass the housing start levels of 2006, and 2007 but pouring more than 1,925 foundations. However, in 2009 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that there will be only 1,850 single-detached homes started. A modest 4% decrease from 2008.

WINNIPEG’S RESALE MARKET WILL BE MODERATE

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation states in its outlook report that after 6 years of consecutive double-digit price growth, the resale market in Winnipeg will balance itself off in 2009. In 2007, the average MLS price for a detached home is currently $200,000.00 in 2008 and we will see a 4% increase in 2009, to push the resale average price to $208,000.00.

WINNIPEG MOVING TO BALANCED MODERATE MARKET

As Winnipeg has experienced substantial price growth over the past 3 years, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that there will be continued but moderate growth in 2009. However, in major commercial projects there will be over $7 billion worth of projects that are commencing in 2009 for Winnipeg and the surrounding areas, concentrated in Winnipeg.

MORTGAGE RATES

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predict that interest rates will decline by a further 25-50 basis points from their current levels in 2009. However, due to the cost of borrowing to the Canadian banks from the markets, the mortgage interest rate will marginally increase in the latter half of 2009, but not significantly enough to negatively affect the housing market in Winnipeg and surrounding areas.

You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64363/64363_2008_B02.pdf

January 15, 2009 — Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic turndown is affecting the Sudbury Ontario housing market

The Big Nickel in Sudbury, Ontario - Credit "Smith", Flickr

The Big Nickel in Sudbury, Ontario - Credit "Smith", Flickr

Sudbury Ontario has had a serious increase in housing starts and is rising above the historical low levels of housing starts of years gone by. CMHC is forecasting 525 single-detached starts, 30 semi-detached units, 40 apartment condominium ownership units, and 120 apartment rental units, for a total of 715 housing starts for 2008. This will increase by 600 units in 2009.

DENSER FORMS OF CONSTRUCTION EXPECTED

CMHC expects the with a vacancy rate under 1% and no publicly assisted rental housing starts in the year 2008 or 2009, the type of new construction for new homes will be the low density form of housing, which will be the dominant type of new housing starts in the Greater Sudbury area.

SUDBURY RESALE MARKET EASES

Sales in Sudbury, from MLS, have been moving steadily in 2008. There are several contributing factors, the significant one is the peek that resale’s have seen in 2007 and 2008. Not to mention, that employment has now leveled off first time buyers are starting to evaporate from the Sudbury area. CMHC expects 2530 sales of resale homes in he year ending 2008, which would be 8.6% less than the same period last year.

Clearly the problem is supply and demand, which historically affects the growth and the volume of resale home sales.

SUDBURY MOVING TO BALANCED MARKET

Although there has been economic growth at moderate levels, over the same period last year, a stunning prediction was made by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation in that even though employment will be strong and there will be substantial population growth in Sudbury and surrounding areas in 2009. This will still only sustain moderate growth and the balancing of the market.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that there will be continued growth in 2009 in major commercial projects with over $20 billion worth of projects that are commencing in 2009 for Sudbury and the surrounding areas, concentrated in the mining areas.

MORTGAGE RATES

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predict that interest rates will decline by a further 25-50 basis points from their current levels in 2009. However, due to the cost of borrowing to the Canadian banks from the markets, the mortgage interest rate will marginally increase in the latter half of 2009, but not significantly enough to negatively affect the housing market in Sudbury and surrounding areas.

You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64363/64363_2008_B02.pdf