Posts Tagged ‘rent’

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The average rental apartment vacancy rate in Canada’s 35 major centres increased to 2.8 per cent in October 2009 from 2.2 per cent in October 2008. The centres with the highest vacancy rates in 2009 were Windsor (13.0 per cent), Abbotsford (6.1 per cent), Peterborough (6.0 per cent), Calgary (5.3 per cent), and London (5.0 per cent). On the other hand, the major urban centres with the lowest vacancy rates were Regina (0.6 per cent), Québec (0.6 per cent), St. John’s (0.9 per cent), Winnipeg (1.1 per cent), Kingston (1.3 per cent), and Victoria (1.4 per cent).

Demand for rental housing in Canada decreased due to slower growth in youth employment and improved affordability of homeownership options. Rental construction and competition from the condominium market also added upward pressure on vacancy rates.

The highest average monthly rents for two-bedroom apartments in new and existing structures were in Vancouver ($1,169), Calgary ($1,099), Toronto ($1,096), and Ottawa ($1,028). The lowest average monthly rents for two-bedroom apartments in new and existing structures were in Saguenay ($518), Trois-Rivières ($520), and Sherbrooke ($553).

Year-over-year comparison of rents in new and existing structures can be slightly misleading because rents in newly-built structures tend to be higher than in existing buildings. However, by excluding new structures, we can get a better indication of actual rent increases paid by most tenants. The average rent for two-bedroom apartments in existing structures increased in all major centres. The largest rent increases in existing structures were recorded in Regina (10.2 per cent), Saskatoon (8.3 per cent),Victoria (5.0 per cent), and St. John’s (4.9 per cent). Overall, the average rent for two-bedroom apartments in existing structures across Canada’s 35 major centres increased by 2.3 per cent between October 2008 and October 2009.

CMHC’s October 2009 Rental Market Survey also covers condominium apartments offered for rent in Calgary, Edmonton, Montréal, Ottawa, Québec, Regina, Saskatoon, Toronto,Vancouver, and Victoria. In 2009, vacancy rates for rental condominium apartments were below two per cent in seven of the 10 centres surveyed. Rental condominium vacancy rates were the lowest in Toronto, Saskatoon, and Ottawa. However, Regina and Edmonton registered the highest vacancy rates for condominium apartments at 3.0 per cent and 3.1 per cent in 2009, respectively.

The survey showed that vacancy rates for rental condominium apartments in 2009 were lower than vacancy rates in the conventional rental market in Ottawa, Saskatoon,Vancouver, Toronto, Edmonton, and Calgary. The highest average monthly rents for two- bedroom condominium apartments were in Toronto ($1,487),Vancouver ($1,448), Calgary ($1,310), and Victoria ($1,223). All surveyed centres posted average monthly rents for two- bedroom condominium apartments that were higher than average monthly rents for two-bedroom private apartments in the conventional rental market in 2009.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The vacancy rate throughout the St. John’s CMA (census metropolitan area) remained low in 2009. In fact, there was little change in the vacancy rate, which largely reflects the impact of solid economic activity and positive employment growth within the region. Robust residential construction activity, combined with healthy MLS®1 sales and a strong supply of existing homes for sale, translated into continued house price growth, once again making the transition from renting to home ownership challenging for renter households. CMHC’s rental market survey conducted during the first two weeks of October included the enumeration of 3,601 privately initiated apartment units within the St. John’s CMA. The survey identified 31 vacancies within the rental stock, translating into a vacancy rate of 0.9 per cent. This compares to a similar 0.8 per cent vacancy rate recorded in 2008, with the rate below one per cent now for two consecutive years and holding steady at its lowest level since 1980. The vacancy rate was one per cent or lower in every zone within the St. John’s area this year. The biggest change was within Remainder of Metro Area (zone 3), with a rate of 0.3 per cent compared to 0.8 per cent in 2008. St. John’s East (zone 1) posted a vacancy rate of 0.9 per cent versus 1.0 per cent last year. In St. John’s West (zone 2), the vacancy rate was 1.0 per cent compared to 0.7 per cent in 2008. St. John’s City (zones 1-2) posted a vacancy rate of 0.9 per cent versus 0.8 per cent a year earlier. Throughout the St. John’s region, vacancies remained highest in bachelor units at 1.5 per cent and lowest in three bedroom units at 0.4 per cent. The recorded vacancy rate for one and two bedroom apartments was 0.8 per cent for both. Average rents increased across the region for all bedroom types in 2009. The following percentage changes in average rent are based on the fixed sample, which includes structures common to the survey for both years (2008/2009). Bachelor unit average rents increased the most of all bedroom types at 6.2 per cent; one bedroom average rents increased 5.7 per cent; two bedroom unit average rents were up 4.9 per cent; and three bedroom rents increased 5.4 per cent. Overall, the total average rent for all bedroom types combined, advanced 5.5 per cent.

Based on the 2009 survey, bachelor unit average rents were $541; one bedroom average rents were $592; two bedroom units posted average rents of $677; and three bedroom rents came in at $713. Overall, the total average rent for all bedroom types combined was $643. The increase in average rents is a reflection of the upward pressure very low vacancies have exerted on rents since 2008, as well as increasing energy costs and the increased costs associated with operating and maintaining apartment buildings. Once again, current rent levels prevented the construction of multi-unit rental projects in 2009, making the rent/return equation uneconomical for developers and real estate investment trusts (REITs). This has been the situation for more than 20 years within the local rental market. However, local rental market dynamics have been changing, with fewer private owners and increasing corporate ownership. The buoyant St. John’s economy and housing market has seen these corporate entities become increasingly interested in the local rental market. In fact, they have purchased many apartment buildings in recent years. The expectation is that these and other players will engage in new multi-unit apartment building construction activity in the coming years, once average rents reach a point where project development becomes feasible.

The local rental market is driven by a number of factors. These factors have remained fairly constant over time and involve both demand and supply influences. Key factors affecting the demand dynamics for rental accommodations over the short term include economic activity, employment, migration trends and the home ownership rate. The supply side of the local rental market is affected by additions to the rental stock via new construction or conversion of existing space into apartments. Apartment supply can also be reduced by conversion activity when existing rental units get converted to condos or hotels. On rare occasions, demolition of apartments for alternate site use or loss due to fire may also diminish the supply of rental units. While CMHC’s rental market survey historically covered structures containing three or more apartment units only, both demand and supply has always been affected by competition from the secondary rental market (newly surveyed since 2007). This market consists of single-detached units; semi-detached, row and duplex units; and other- primarily accessory suites. Statistics for secondary rented units exclude apartments in purpose built rental structures with three rental units or more, condo apartments, units in institutions, and any dwelling whose type could not be identified in the survey. The estimated number of households in secondary rented units within the St. John’s CMA is quite substantial at 12,896, with an average rent of $653 compared to $618 in 2008. Refer to tables 5.1 and 5.2 for additional details regarding secondary rental market survey results.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The overall vacancy rate in Halifax stood at 2.9 per cent in October, down from 3.4 per cent last fall. Vacancy rates in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM) trended down in all submarkets but one in 2009. Average rents, based on structures common to both the 2008 and 2009 surveys, were up 2.8 per cent. In the HRM, Halifax City saw the largest decline in vacancies as the rate fell from 2.7 to 2.0 per cent in 2009. The Mainland North area of Halifax City saw the vacancy rate fall a full percentage point to 1.6 per cent. This submarket has a significant impact on the overall HRM vacancy rate as it is home to 28 per cent of the rental stock – the most of any submarket. On the other side of the harbor, Dartmouth City saw a more modest decline in vacancies from a rate of 5.5 to 5.2 per cent in 2009. Dartmouth North again saw the highest vacancy rate in the HRM at 5.6 per cent in 2009 while Dartmouth East recorded the only increase in vacancies – climbing from 4.4 to 5.4 per cent. The Metro Halifax vacancy rate of 2.9 per cent is only slightly higher than the national average of 2.8 per cent. Apart from Windsor, Halifax saw the largest decline in vacancies in 2009

with a 0.5 percentage point decrease. Canadian cities with the lowest vacancy rates in 2009 were Quebec City, Regina and St. John’s with rates of 0.6, 0.6 and 0.9 per cent respectively. Three of the cities with the highest vacancy rates, Calgary, Peterborough and Abbotsford also saw the largest increases in 2009 as vacancies climbed more than three percentage points in each of these major centres. Vacancy rates have remained relatively stable in Halifax for the past decade. In fact, the 2009 vacancy rate of 2.9 is only slightly below the ten-year average vacancy rate of 3.0 per cent. The vacancy rate has not fluctuated much over that time period, in spite of significant levels of new construction and new rental units being added to the supply. Over the past ten years, there have been approximately 585 new rental units added to the supply each year. Currently, there are nearly 600 more rental units under construction (as of October 2009) in the HRM most of which will be completed over the next 12 to 18 months. It is expected that current demand will be sufficient to offset the additional supply and keep vacancy rates within the recent ten-year range. Average rents in Halifax, increased by 2.8 per cent in 2009 compared to 2.0 per cent growth in both 2007 and 2008. This percentage increase is based on a fixed sample methodology including structures common to both this year’s and last year’s survey. Rents increased in response to the elevated demand that pushed vacancy rates downward. Based solely on this year’s sample, the average rent for a two- bedroom unit in Halifax was $877 in 2009. * The survey, completed during the first two weeks of October, is limited to privately initiated structures comprised of at least three rental units that were available for rent or completed before June 30, 2009.

Demand for two-bedroom units increased the most in Halifax in 2009. Two-bedroom units account for nearly 50 per cent of the rental stock in the city and saw the largest decline in vacancy rates from 4.2 to 3.3 per cent in 2009. The decrease in two-bedroom vacancies was largely impacted by the halving of the vacancy rate in Mainland North from 3.0 to 1.5 per cent. One and three-bedroom units saw more moderate vacancy rate declines from 2.8 to 2.4 per cent and from 2.9 to 2.7 per cent respectively. Bachelor units were the only bedroom-type to see an increase in the vacancy rate from 2.1 to 2.5 per cent in 2009. The vacancy rate in the south end of the Peninsula remained unchanged at 1.3 per cent with this area continuing to report the lowest rate in the HRM. Dartmouth North saw its vacancy rate decline from 6.1 to 5.6 per cent in 2009, but retained its 2008 position as having the highest vacancy rate in Halifax.

In terms of age, newer buildings continue to record the lowest vacancy rates, albeit slightly higher than last year. In buildings built since 2000, the vacancy rate increased from 0.8 to 1.0 per cent. This rate is less than half the rate of buildings built prior to 2000. Buildings built prior to 1974 saw the largest decline in vacancy rates of 1.3 percentage points. The oldest buildings (i.e., those built prior to 1960) saw vacancies decline from 4.5 to 3.2 per cent while the next oldest group (i.e., those built between 1960 and 1974) saw vacancies decline from 5.7 to 4.4 per cent. Based on building size, larger buildings continued to record the lowest vacancy rates in the city. Buildings with more than 100 units saw vacancies decline from 2.6 to 2.1 per cent. Smaller buildings with six to 19 units saw the highest vacancy rate of 3.8 per cent in 2009, but also the largest decline from 4.8 per cent in 2008.

The overall average rent increased 2.8 per cent in 2009 based on units common to both the 2008 and 2009 surveys. Three-bedroom units saw the largest increase of 3.1 per cent, while one-bedroom units saw the lowest increase in average rents of 2.6 per cent. Just as in 2008, the average rent increases for two- bedroom units matched the overall HRM increase of 2.8 per cent. In terms of submarkets, Peninsula South saw the most growth in average rents at 4.2 per cent while Dartmouth North saw the lowest increase in average rents of 1.9 per cent. Based solely on the 2009 survey data, the average rent for a two-bedroom apartment in Halifax was $877 per month as of October. Peninsula South remains the highest priced market in the HRM with an average two- bedroom unit renting for $1,318 per month which is 50 per cent higher than the overall HRM average. All other submarkets saw rents below the overall average except for Peninsula North which is just one per cent above the average. The lowest average rents can be found in Dartmouth South and Mainland South where two-bedroom units rent for $683 and $728 per month respectively. Newer buildings continue to