Housing starts are expected to rebound in the second half of 2009 and will reach 141,900 for the year. Starts will increase to 150,300 for 2010, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) third quarter Housing Market Outlook, Canada Edition* report. The overall forecast totals for housing starts remain unchanged from the second quarter release.
“Economic uncertainty and lower levels of employment tempered new housing construction in the first half of this year”, said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist for CMHC. “In the second half of 2009 and in 2010, we expect housing markets across Canada to strengthen.”
Improving activity on the resale market and lower inventory levels in both the new and existing home markets are expected to prompt builders to increase residential construction.
Existing home sales, as measured by the Multiple Listing Service (MLS®)1, have rebounded strongly since January and will reach 420,700 units in 2009 and remain close to that level at 419,400 units in 2010. The average MLS® price is expected to moderate to $301,400 in 2009 and to increase to $306,300 in 2010.
As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.
* The forecasts included in the Housing Market Outlook are based on information available as of July 23, 2009. Where applicable, forecast ranges are also presented in order to reflect economic uncertainty.
1 The term MLS® stands for Multiple Listing Service and is a registered trademark of the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). Data are for 10 provinces.
Information on this release:
Charles Sauriol
CMHC Media Relations
613-748-2799
National Housing Outlook
Key Housing Market Indicators
|
2008
Actual |
2009
Forecasts |
2010
Forecasts |
| Total housing starts (units) |
211,056 |
141,900 |
150,300 |
| Total single-detached houses |
93,202 |
68,400 |
72,450 |
| Total multiple housing units |
117,854 |
73,500 |
77,850 |
| Total MLS® sales1 |
433,990 |
420,700 |
419,400 |
| Average MLS® selling price ($) |
303,607 |
301,400 |
306,300 |
Provincial Housing Outlook
Total Housing Starts
|
2008
Actual |
2009
Forecasts |
2010
Forecasts |
| Newfoundland and Labrador |
3,261 |
2,950 |
3,000 |
| Prince Edward Island |
712 |
625 |
640 |
| Nova Scotia |
3,982 |
3,050 |
3,325 |
| New Brunswick |
4,274 |
3,285 |
3,500 |
| Quebec |
47,901 |
43,175 |
41,100 |
| Ontario |
75,076 |
48,675 |
50,000 |
| Manitoba |
5,537 |
4,000 |
4,300 |
| Saskatchewan |
6,828 |
3,750 |
4,150 |
| Alberta |
29,164 |
16,100 |
18,250 |
| British Columbia |
34,321 |
16,250 |
22,000 |
Tags: activity, Alberta, Bob Dugan, British Columbia, Canada, Chief Economist, CMHC, CONSTRUCTION, forecast, housing, Labrador, manitoba, Market, MLS, Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, Ontario, Outlook, Prince Edward Island, Quebec, Release, Saskatchewan, Starts
Posted in Alberta, British Columbia, CMHC, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Ontario, Quebec