January 14, 2009 – Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic down turn is affecting the Edmonton Alberta housing market

Edmonton, Alberta - Credits PinkMoose, Flickr
The Edmonton Alberta Housing Market in new home sales is taking a huge downturn from the record levels 2008 by 56%. However, the housing market in Edmonton will start to recover in the latter part of 2009. The Canada Mortgage and Housing report that was released in the fourth quarter of 2008, shows a graph of the housing starts both ups and down in the Edmonton Alberta market.
SINGLE-DETACHED CONSTRUCTION TO IMPROVE IN 2009
The Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation reported that housing starts will dip 66% in 2009. This reduction in housing starts will also cause for new housing starts to drop from 3000 units to approximately 2600 units in 2009 in the Edmonton Alberta market.
With the demand that was previously high, the average time to build a detached home has increased over the past 7 years in Edmonton, from 6 months to just over 13 months. The average price for a new detached home in Edmonton Alberta has increased from $418,954.00 to $498,961.00, in 2009, which is an increase of 19% over the same period last year.
MULTIPLE DWELLING STARTS EASE IN 2009 OVER INVENTORY CONCERNS
The Edmonton Alberta real estate market after four years of double-digit price growth, like other housing markets in Canada, experienced extreme growth in 2007. However, there was a 23% decline in housing sales in the latter part of 2008. However, it is predicted in 2009 by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation that the sales will stabilize but still there will be a 32% reduction in sales, as compared to 2006 and 2007.
ECONOMY SOLID REGIONAL ECONOMIC FUNDEMENTALS
The economic and employment outlook for growth in the Edmonton Alberta area is predicted to reduce in 2009, and is projected to reduce more substantially then any other province as a whole by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, in their fourth quarter report in 2008.
However, the capital region, located in the central part of the province, and all other surrounding neighborhoods will generate substantial economic and employment growth throughout all of 2009. In fact, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that area employment in Edmonton Alberta will grow by 2.4% in 2009, with new jobs being added in the high-tech, trade, healthcare, personal and other service related industry sectors.
Edmonton Alberta is one of the few regions that is still experiencing a shortage of workers, and is attempting to implement policies to encourage migration.
MORTGAGE RATES
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predict that interest rates will decline by a further 25-50 basis points from their current levels in 2009. However, due to the cost of borrowing to the Canadian banks from the markets, the mortgage interest rate will marginally increase in the latter half of 2009, but not significantly enough to negatively affect the housing market in Edmonton Alberta.
You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64343/64343_2008_B02.pdf
Tags: Alberta, Alexander, Canada, canadian funding corp, canadian funding corporation, Corporation, economy, edmonton, employment, growth, home, housing, Market, Moishe, moishe alexander, Mortgage, Outlook, part, quarter, reduction, Report, review
Posted in Alberta, British Columbia, CMHC, Housing Market, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Ontario, Quebec, Rental Market, Uncategorized