Renters had an easier time finding rental accommodation in Vancouver this fall, compared to last year. Higher rental apartment vacancy rates have meant that renters have more choice. Although higher than last year, Vancouver’s vacancy rate is still below the national average and among the lowest in the country.

A slowdown in employment sent Vancouver’s rental apartment vacancy rate higher in 2009. The vacancy rate increased to 2.1 per cent, after sitting below one per cent for three consecutive years. Unemployment in the Vancouver Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) for the first ten months of 2009 increased to seven per cent from 4.3 per cent for the same period last year. Although employment has been gradually improving since the spring of this year, it has only been in the last couple months that full-time employment has grown.

A shift to homeownership also contributed to higher rental vacancy rates in 2009. A combination of low mortgage rates and home prices off their peak value has meant that monthly mortgage payments are lower. As of September 2009, the average monthly mortgage payment for an apartment condominium was approximately ten per cent less than it was one year ago3. Although the average mortgage payment is still higher than the average monthly rental payment, some renters have chosen to take this opportunity to enter homeownership.
Virtually all communities in the Metro Vancouver area saw an increase in vacancies in 2009. The only exception to this was the University Endowment Lands (UEL). The vacancy rate in the UEL, along with several areas of Vancouver City and North Vancouver, remained tight, below one per cent in October 2009.Vancouver City, with its educational infrastructure and job opportunities in the business centre, and the lifestyle communities of West Vancouver and White Rock recorded vacancy rates just over one per cent.Vacancies increased in all other municipalities, with suburban communities north of the Fraser River near three per cent, and communities south of the Fraser, in the 4-6 per cent range.

The rental availability rate4 for private rental apartments moved higher in 2009. The availability rate increased to 2.8 per cent in October 2009, from 1.1 per cent a year earlier. The vacancy rate for investor-owned rental condominiums increased in 2009, but to a lesser extent than that for purpose-built rental units. The rental condominium vacancy rate moved up to 1.7 per cent from 0.6 per cent last fall. The stock of rental condominiums is generally newer and features more amenities than their purpose-built rental counterparts. These benefits shore up demand for rental condominiums.

The competition was spirited, friendly and all for a good cause today as teams from across the region squared off at the Rideau Centre in Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC) eighth annual gingerbread house build in support of Habitat for Humanity National Capital Region (NCR).

Several prizes were awarded, but the main winners will be local families whose dreams of homeownership will move closer to reality because of the event.

“Habitat for Humanity is a great organization that does amazing work here in Ottawa, across Canada and around the world,” said Ed Komarnicki, Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development and to the Minister of Labour. “I am delighted that CMHC is working with the local organization again this year to help raise money to build homes for families in the National Capital Region.”

In the competition’s professional category, local restaurants, bakeries and culinary schools competed to design and decorate gingerbread houses that evoke the holiday spirit. The top prize of $1,000 went to a stunning creation made by Fairmont Château Laurier. The second place prize of $500 was awarded to Cité collégiale, and third place went to Decadent Cakes with a $250 prize.

New to this year’s competition was an amateur category, which saw teams of families, friends and other ‘rookies’ compete to come up with the most tantalizing creation. The first prize of $500 went to Intempo Design Studio; second prize ($250) was awarded to Design First Interiors; and third prize ($100) went to Erskine Dredge & Associates Architects Inc.

A highlight of the annual event is the media competition, in which local media personalities compete against each other — and against the clock — in a live gingerbread house build. This year, teams from Virgin Radio, the Ottawa Citizen, the Ottawa Sun, 24 Hours Ottawa, A-Channel and CJOH CTV – Ottawa participated, and were presented with a certificate of appreciation by MP Komarnicki.

“CMHC has a special relationship with Habitat for Humanity, and we are pleased to be supporting them with today’s event,” said Karen Kinsley, President and CEO of CMHC. “This is a time of year when Canadians are looking to share their good fortune with others. Proceeds from CMHC’s gingerbread house competition will enable Habitat for Humanity to continue building safe and affordable homes for low-income working families in the National Capital Region.”

“Habitat for Humanity NCR is proud to partner with CMHC again this year for another excellent community event,” said Donna Hicks, Habitat NCR’s CEO. “Everyone is a winner in this event, especially the local families who will be helped by your generosity.”

The gingerbread homes will be on display at the Rideau Centre in the West Bay Bridge (near Grand & Toy) all weekend. Visitors are invited to tour the gingerbread village and bid on their favourite homes in a silent auction. All proceeds from the silent auction will go to support the home building programs of Habitat for Humanity NCR.

Habitat for Humanity NCR’s mission is to mobilize volunteers and community partners in building affordable housing and promoting home ownership as a means to breaking the cycle of poverty. Habitat has built 35 homes in the National Capital Region since 1993.

The slackness in the resale market coupled with the slowing economy will directly impact the new home market. Single-detached starts will fall to 190 units in 2009 and 180 in 2010, as the market comes more into line with long-term demographic requirements. CMHC expects 210 row, condominium and apartment starts in 2009 and another 160 in 2010.

After rising 4.3 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively in 2007 and 2008, the New Home Price Index for Sudbury-Thunder Bay will rise in 2009 and 2010 but only modestly given the slowdown in demand.

Developers have plans for condominium development in 2010. Pricing will be very important as this product is primarily targeted at empty nesters who do not typically want to pay more for a condo that what they obtain from the sale of a homeownership unit.

As is well known, the vacancy rate has fallen from a peak of 11.1 per cent in 1999. A tight market partially brought on by a lack of new rental construction and demand pressure has finally resulted in some development of rental housing in Greater Sudbury. Vacancy rates rose slightly in April and will also increase this October before falling again to 1.3 per cent in 2010 as the economy begins improving. Strong enrolment figures at the three Sudbury-based post-secondary institutions will contribute to the tight market conditions. Rents should continue to escalate in 2009 and 2010 given continued strong demand for rental accommodation.

After plateauing in 2006-2007, Sudbury sales fell 13 per cent in 2008 and have fallen a further 26 per cent to the end of September. Sales will certainly continue this downward trend in 2009. Given the buyer’s market conditions, CMHC estimates a 27 per cent drop in existing home transactions when the year is complete. Sales will drop a further six per cent in 2010 as the market moves towards a balanced position.

The sale to new listings ratio, an indicator of the existing home market behaviour, is improving. After growing in the third quarter, Sudbury’s market will keep an upward trend, increasing its temperature. CMHC expects this ratio to end the year approaching 50 per cent, indicating that prices will adjust all the way into next year.

According to local sources, demand is greatest in the price ranges under 200,000 while the upper end of the market (>$400.000) has not been greatly affected. Prices have been falling since mid-year 2008 after rising to unsustainably high levels over the prior four years. The price decrease will continue into 2010 but will be tempered by falling listings. Watch for average prices to fall 5.5 per cent in 2009 and level off in 2010.

Given the adjustment in home prices, there has been improvement in required income to purchase a home. Unfortunately, with the slowing economy, the adjustment to incomes has been stronger. As a result the net impact on affordability will decrease somewhat in 2010 after improving in 2009. Nonetheless, there are buyers in the market searching for lower priced homes.

Greater Sudbury has experienced a strike at Vale Inco, one of the biggest mining companies in the community. Consequently employment will decline 1.2 per cent in 2009 and recover only slightly, 0.5 per cent in 2010. The combination of job loss and labour force growth have caused the unemployment rate to head north, and will approach on average nine per cent this year and next.

After an increase of nearly nine per cent in 2008, average weekly earnings will drop this year declining three per cent and fall a more modest 0.5 per cent in 2010. Removing a relatively high proportion of mining and mining- related incomes from the mix would have had a downward impact on average weekly earnings over the course of this year.

In the short term local economic uncertainty will impact housing demand. However, the current commodity price rebound will form a solid long term foundation for growth in the broader Sudbury economy. Despite the current weakness in the Sudbury economy, some economic development plans are still moving ahead.

Migration has been positive of late, while natural increase is trending down. In-migration will trend downward in 2009 and 2010 prior to recovery in 2011. Mining workers affected by work stoppages may contemplate relocating if the national economy begins to improve, generating opportunities elsewhere.

The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

Mortgage rates have fallen over the course of 2009, but are now expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Posted mortgage rates will gradually increase through 2010, but will do so at a slow pace. For 2010, the one-year posted mortgage rate will be in the 3.50-4.25 per cent range, while three and five-year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 4.50-6.00 per cent range.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts reached 157,300 units in October. This is an increase from 149,300 units started in September, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“The improvement in housing starts in October is attributable to improvement in the multiple starts segment,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “Despite a small decline in single home starts in October, the level of single home starts remains at its second highest level since October 2008.”

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased by 5.2 per cent to 139,900 units in October. Urban multiple starts climbed 13.8 per cent to 72,600 units, while urban single starts declined by 2.7 per cent to 67,300 units in October.

October’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased by 15 per cent in British Columbia, by 14.8 per cent in Ontario, by 6.5 per cent in the Prairies and by 1.2 per cent in the Atlantic. The rate of urban starts decreased by 11.6 per cent in Quebec.

Rural starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 17,400 units in October.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) today announced the six winners of CMHC’s Housing Studies Achievement Award. Six prizes of $10,000 — three at a master’s level and three at a doctoral level — were presented by Mr. Douglas Stewart, CMHC’s Vice President, Policy and Planning, at an awards event held today in Ottawa.

“CMHC is proud to honour Canadians whose work is at the forefront of helping us foster a better future for quality, affordable housing in this country. I want to congratulate this year’s winners of the CMHC Housing Studies Achievement Award for their important contributions,” said Mr. Stewart.

The CMHC Housing Studies Achievement Award program, held every second year, was originally created to commemorate CMHC’s 60^th anniversary in 2006 and the first winners were announced in November 2007. The academic work of the 2009 award recipients contributes to housing research and policy development in Canada, whether in social, economic, design or technical aspects of housing. In addition to paying tribute to the work of the award winners, CMHC is also acknowledging the work of four “honourable mentions” singled out for recognition by the expert panel of jurors reviewing submissions. Attached is a backgrounder profiling the work of the 2009 CMHC Housing Studies Achievement Award winners and Honourable Mentions.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable, and affordable homes — homes that will continue to create vibrant and healthy communities across the country. For more information, call 1-800-668-2642.

The lives of 18 individuals changed for the better today with the official opening of the Stella Burry Community Services’ new and much-anticipated housing project in Rawlins Cross.

The Honourable Peter MacKay, Minister of National Defence and Minister for the Atlantic Gateway, on behalf of the Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development Canada and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), made the announcement today.

“The Government of Canada is proud to invest in initiatives that directly help people in our community access safe and suitable housing,” said Minister MacKay. “This project will provide safe and supportive housing and help individuals build a stronger future for themselves.”

The project has received federal funding from various initiatives to off-set construction costs. Funding by the Government of Canada, through CMHC, includes $905,000 under the Canada – Newfoundland and Labrador Affordable Housing Initiative and $216,000 through the Residential Rehabilitation Assistance Program. Stella Burry Community Services also received $348,900 from the Government of Canada homelessness funding and $20,000 in Seed Funding from CMHC during the initial planning stages.

Also, the General Council of The United Church of Canada contributed $250,000 toward the completion of the project. Incorporated under The United Church of Canada, Stella Burry Community Services provides programs in the community that reflect the social justice philosophies of the United Church.

“This is such an exciting day for us,” said Jocelyn Greene, Executive Director of Stella Burry Community Services. “From the beginning, the community, the city, our staff, our board members, as well as our federal and provincial partners have all been tremendously supportive of the entire project. I know it is because people relate to the work that we, as an organization, do in this community. We all firmly believe that everyone deserves an affordable and safe place to call home; that everyone deserves opportunity and supports to be the best person that they can be. A project such as this would not be possible without that strong, unified support, for which we are incredibly grateful and blessed.”

“We are extremely proud of the work that is being carried out by Stella Burry Community Services, and are delighted to contribute to this wonderful project in St. John’s,” said Mardi Tindal, Moderator of The United Church of Canada. “The availability of affordable housing has been a persistent concern of The United Church of Canada and our record of advocacy on issues relating to housing and homelessness is well known. The leadership shown by Stella Burry Community Services to increase the availability of housing for low income individuals in the St. John’s region is to be commended as we celebrate the opening of this beautiful building today,” she added.

Last fall, the Government of Canada committed more than $1.9 billion over the next five years to improve and build new affordable housing and to help the homeless. Canada’s Economic Action Plan builds on this with an additional one-time investment of more than $2 billion over two years in new and existing social housing and lending of up to another $2 billion to municipalities for housing-related infrastructure.

Employment in the Charlottetown area is forecast to post a slight decline this year before posting a moderate increase in 2010. During the first three quarters of 2009, the decrease in employment in Charlottetown was dispersed among all industries except the public service sector, which posted a small increase. Despite the modest declines in employment in 2009, the capital region remains attractive for job seekers compared to other parts of the province. This fact has lead to the continued trend of urbanization, as Islanders continue to move to the capital region from more rural parts of the province.

Positive net-migration is one of the key factors that has contributed to the strong housing market over the past seven years. As of July 2009, the population of Prince Edward Island was estimated at 140,985; an increase of 1,534 persons or 1.1 per cent from 2008. While this increase in population was the result of both a natural increase and positive net migration, the vast majority was the result of the latter. From July 2008 to July 2009, 1,793 international immigrants chose the Island as their new home, which is the highest annual level since recording began in 1971. The main reason for this substantial increase in international migration was the increased effort that the province has allocated to this initiative. The results seen in 2007 and 2008 are expected to be the start of a new upward trend in international migration with preliminary data for 2009 indicating that the year could end up showing an even larger inflow of people. The local housing market is benefitting from this initiative as many of these households are relocating to the capital region, and as such require housing within all tenure types. While the aforementioned data

While the aforementioned data on immigration is positive, it is for the province as a whole. It is important to note that the capital region consistently outperforms the province. For the last census period ending in 2006, the Charlottetown CA, which encompasses the entire urban area around the city, recorded a population growth of 1,391 people or 2.4 per cent. While there was some natural population growth during this period, the majority of the increase was due to in-migration. For the Charlottetown area it had been typical that about 70 per cent of the people moving to the capital region came from elsewhere in the province, while the remainder were from other regions of the country. This ratio had remained fairly constant since the early 1990′s, but since 2006 it has started to change. The reason for this is twofold, with both the movement of people to the west and the recent influx in international immigrants. As earlier referenced, the influx of international immigration is expected to end up being even stronger in 2009 than 2008, due to the popularity of the province’s programs with new immigrants. This will especially benefit the capital region as the majority of the people are settling in the area. This trend should continue to bolster the local housing market over the forecast period, as the population continues to grow.

As a result of the aforementioned market forces, the Charlottetown housing market is expected to exceed the level set in 2008. Although single starts in Charlottetown recorded a decline so far in 2009, multiple starts at the end of the third quarter are on track to have the strongest year since 1988. Single starts are expected to decline 25 per cent in 2009, when compared to 2008. This decline was expected, as many potential homeowners are taking a wait and see approach, before making any large purchases. In addition, single home construction in Charlottetown posted seven years of impressive growth that mirrored the national trend. As such, the decline in 2009 is seen as the market returning to a more sustainable level. In contrast to the decline in singles, multiple starts will end the year close to setting a new record high. The strength in multiple starts is the result of several factors. The increase in multiple unit starts also created a situation where there was a temporary oversupply of rental units that was not fully absorbed until the end of 2007. However, one area where new construction has continued to remain strong is multiple units intended for homeownership. A key reason for the increased activity in this part of the market is the relatively lower cost of semi-detached and row units compared to single-detached homes. Despite the forecasted increase in semi-detached units over the next two years, it is expected that the overall housing market will remain strong during the forecast period. The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

Mortgage rates have fallen over the course of 2009, but are now expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Posted mortgage rates will gradually increase through 2010, but will do so at a slow pace. For 2010, the one-year posted mortgage rate will be in the 3.50-4.25 per cent range, while three and five-year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 4.50-6.00 per cent range.

Residential construction and existing home sales levels
in Halifax are expected to rebound in 2010 following declines in 2009, according to
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s (CMHC’s) Housing Market Outlook
released today.
“New home construction in Halifax will rebound by 16 per cent in 2010,” said Matthew
Gilmore, senior market analyst with CMHC’s Atlantic Business Centre. “Employment
and wage levels have hit new record highs in 2009 while interest rates have been
historically low. These factors will be supportive of growth in the industry in 2010,”
Gilmore said.
Apartment-style construction will outpace other styles with 800 units expected to start in
2010 – an increase of 33 per cent.
Existing home sales will rebound by over six per cent in 2010. The average price of an
existing home is expected to climb by 2.5 per cent reaching $243,500 next year.
As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of
experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable
and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing
market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the
housing industry in making vital decisions.

Resilient consumer spending, large capital projects
and improved employment will continue to support the St. John’s region housing market
throughout the remainder of 2009 and in 2010, according to Canada Mortgage and
Housing Corporation’s (CMHC’S) Housing Market Outlook – St. John’s report released
today.
Housing starts are expected to end 2009 at 1,675 units, with 1,800 starts forecast for
2010. The resale or MLS®1 market will post 3,450 sales by the end of this year and reach
the 3,575 level in 2010. The average MLS® house price is expected to end 2009 at
$215,500 compared to $187,571 in 2008 and increase to $225,500 in 2010.
“Despite the recent global economic uncertainty, strong fundamentals will continue to
support demand for housing throughout the remainder of 2009 and in 2010,” said Chris
Janes, senior market analyst with CMHC in Newfoundland and Labrador. “Overall, the
positive outlook for the St. John’s area housing market will be reinforced by favourable
trends in demographic and economic fundamentals, as well as on-going economic
momentum fuelled by a lengthy list of major capital projects,” added Janes.
As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of
experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable
and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing
market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the
housing industry in making vital decisions.

Residential property prices are continuing to fall and now there are fears that increases in mortgage rates could put off a lot of investors, especially first time buyers.

Canadian home prices fell 5.8% in March from the same month a year earlier, a faster pace of decline than in February, according to the latest published figures from the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index. It also shows that prices were down 8.5% nationally from the peak in August last year.

Western Canadian home prices were hardest-hit, with Vancouver leading with a 9.6% decline in March from a year earlier, while Calgary saw prices fall 8.4%, and Toronto saw a 6.9% slide. Halifax reported the smallest decline at 0.8%.

Montreal and Ottawa bucked the trend in March with property prices rising 2.9% and 1%, respectively. The index also showed home prices fell 4.1% year-over-year in February.

Analysts were confident that first time buyers were the key to recovery in the market but now Canada’s biggest banks are putting up key mortgage rates. Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Montreal, Toronto-Dominion Bank, the Bank of Nova Scotia and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce are all increasing their posted rates on five-year, fixed-rate mortgages by 0.2% to 5.45%.

Paula Roberts, a mortgage broker with Mortgage Intelligence, said she hopes that buyers will not be put off by the new rates. She explained that the rises are coming from ‘abnormally low’ levels and there are still have plenty of opportunity to take advantage of lower borrowing costs because not all lenders will pass on the increases.

But there are fears that rates will go up even further as the government is concerned about inflation.

‘Certainly there is the recognition that interest rates are going to have to go up both because of the need to rein some of this monetary stimulus in once the economy gains traction and the level of debt that is being issued by governments,’ said Toronto-Dominion economist Grant Bishop.

And Canadians are borrowing less according to a report from Statistics Canada. ‘Net new mortgage borrowing contracted during the first three months of 2009, as investment in residential construction and activity in the resale housing market continued to decline,’ it said.

Note from Moishe Alexander, CFC CEO
This article has been reposted from PropertyWire. View the article on PropertyWire’s international real estate news website here.