Posts Tagged ‘Mortgage’

Posted by Moishe Alexander

The seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of housing starts was 197,300 units in March 2010, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

Seasonally adjusted annual rate estimates of housing start activity were also revised up for January and February2. This resulted in month-over-month gains of 7.5 per cent in January (189,000 units), 6 per cent in February (200,400 units), and a slight decrease of 1.5 per cent in March.

“The moderation in March housing starts was due to a decrease in the volatile multiple starts segment. Helping to offset this was an increase in singles starts as well as more activity in rural areas,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts decreased by 4.2 per cent to 175,200 units in March. Urban multiple starts decreased by 15.2 per cent to 77,500 units while single urban starts increased by 6.9 per cent to 97,700 units.

March’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts increased by 13.5 per cent in Quebec and by 7.3 per cent in the Prairie region, but decreased by 16.3 per cent in British Columbia, by 15.5 per cent in Ontario, and by 8 per cent in Atlantic Canada.

Rural starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 22,100 units in March3.

As Canada’s national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 60 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of high quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable homes. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making vital decisions.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The vacancy rate for private rental apartment buildings with three or more units in the St. Catharines- Niagara CMA (hereinafter Niagara) was above the national and historical averages. According to the CMHC’s Fall 2009 Rental Market Survey, the vacancy rate edged up to 4.4 per cent in 2009. This was above the 20-year average level of 3.5 per cent, and an increase of 0.1 percentage point from last year. Four main factors placed upward pressure on the vacancy rate. First, record low mortgage rates in combination with lower prices in the earlier part of the year translated into very affordable mortgage carrying costs. Many buyers, in particular first- time buyers, took advantage and moved out of rental accommodation and into home ownership. A comparison of average rents and mortgage carrying costs based on the mortgage terms chosen by most first-time buyers (i.e., maximum amortization period and the minimum down payment allowed) suggests that the gap between the two narrowed by more than 50 per cent in the first quarter of 2009.

Also, youth aged 15 to 24 are a key source of rental demand. Weaker employment among youth in this age group meant that some of them, after losing their jobs, moved back into their parents’ homes, or alternatively, postponed a decision to move out. Total employment for all age groups declined by around 11,000 people or 5.6 per cent when comparing the average level in the 12 months ending September 2009 to average level in the same period a year earlier.Youth employment declined by 4,500 people or 14 per cent, of which 2,900 in full- time positions and the rest in part- time jobs.

Finally, there were fewer international immigrants in 2009, due to the global economic slowdown. Since they traditionally tend to rent after landing in Canada, this implies that rental demand in 2009 was not as strong as in the previous years. Many international migrants find it difficult to settle in the region and land a job. Instead, they prefer to settle in major centres, such as the Greater Toronto Area, where they are more likely to find their first job and where there are established social networks.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

Renters are having an easier time finding accommodations in Victoria this year. A sluggish local economy and labour market, and a recent surge in homeownership has moved vacancy rates up. As the level of employment has edged lower, relatively fewer people have moved to the region. Historically low mortgage rates and lower home prices reduced monthly mortgage carrying costs, and encouraged some renters to exit the rental market in favour of homeownership. Near record levels of apartment condominium resales recorded across Greater Victoria during the second and third quarters of 2009 reflected this movement from rental to homeownership.

Vacancy rates for both apartments and town homes moved up in the Victoria CMA over the past year. The average apartment vacancy rate edged up to 1.4 per cent, following four years at 0.5 per cent. Similarly, the average vacancy rate for rental townhouses shifted up from 0.1 per cent last October, to 1.8 per cent in October 2009. The trend of increasing vacancies was widespread in the region. Higher vacancy rates were observed across all Greater Victoria municipalities. Both the one and two bedroom segments of the local apartment rental markets recorded increased vacancies. While apartment vacancy rates in Victoria increased in 2009, they remain low compared to other major British Columbia markets (2.1 per cent in the Vancouver CMA and 3.0 per cent in the Kelowna CMA) and the provincial average (2.8 per cent).1

Softer demand for rental housing in 2009 has put less upward pressure on rents. Average one and two bedroom apartment rents edged up 4.5 and five per cent in 2009, respectively.2 This growth was less robust than the 6.8 per cent average rent increase in 2008, when vacancy rates were at their lowest. A substantial range exists between the rents observed across Victoria CMA municipalities. For an average two- bedroom apartment, Oak Bay was home to the highest rents ($1,206), while the lowest rents were found in Esquimalt ($858). When compared to the provincial average, two-bedroom rents are on par, while average one- bedroom rents are eight per cent lower in Victoria.