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Victoria CMA

Comments: 0January 4th, 2010 by admin

Posted by Moshe Alexander

Renters are having an easier time finding accommodations in Victoria this year. A sluggish local economy and labour market, and a recent surge in homeownership has moved vacancy rates up. As the level of employment has edged lower, relatively fewer people have moved to the region. Historically low mortgage rates and lower home prices reduced monthly mortgage carrying costs, and encouraged some renters to exit the rental market in favour of homeownership. Near record levels of apartment condominium resales recorded across Greater Victoria during the second and third quarters of 2009 reflected this movement from rental to homeownership.

Vacancy rates for both apartments and town homes moved up in the Victoria CMA over the past year. The average apartment vacancy rate edged up to 1.4 per cent, following four years at 0.5 per cent. Similarly, the average vacancy rate for rental townhouses shifted up from 0.1 per cent last October, to 1.8 per cent in October 2009. The trend of increasing vacancies was widespread in the region. Higher vacancy rates were observed across all Greater Victoria municipalities. Both the one and two bedroom segments of the local apartment rental markets recorded increased vacancies. While apartment vacancy rates in Victoria increased in 2009, they remain low compared to other major British Columbia markets (2.1 per cent in the Vancouver CMA and 3.0 per cent in the Kelowna CMA) and the provincial average (2.8 per cent).1

Softer demand for rental housing in 2009 has put less upward pressure on rents. Average one and two bedroom apartment rents edged up 4.5 and five per cent in 2009, respectively.2 This growth was less robust than the 6.8 per cent average rent increase in 2008, when vacancy rates were at their lowest. A substantial range exists between the rents observed across Victoria CMA municipalities. For an average two- bedroom apartment, Oak Bay was home to the highest rents ($1,206), while the lowest rents were found in Esquimalt ($858). When compared to the provincial average, two-bedroom rents are on par, while average one- bedroom rents are eight per cent lower in Victoria.

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Posted in CMHC, Canada

HOUSING MARKET OUTLOOK Thunder Bay

Comments: 0November 9th, 2009 by admin

Posted by Moishe Alexander

The slackness in the resale market has directly impacted the new home market as has the slowing economy. Single-detached starts will fall to 160 units in 2009 and 170 in 2010, as the market comes more into line with long term demographic requirements. CMHC expects 30 row, condominium and apartment starts in 2009 and another 55 in 2010. Relatively tight rental market conditions and reasonable take up of condominium units will result in some of this activity over the next 18 months.

As Figure 2 indicates, there has been improvement in household incomes in Thunder Bay and with required income being more or less flat, affordability has improved. Next year, with home prices and incomes rising modestly, homeownership should remain an affordable option and therefore demand should strengthen slightly.

After rising 4.3 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively in 2007 and 2008, the New Home Price Index for Sudbury-Thunder Bay will rise in 2009 and 2010 but only modestly given the slowdown in demand.

Vacancy rates have come down steadily since 1998 in Thunder Bay while two bedroom rents are the lowest amongst other centres in Ontario. Lack of new supply and healthy demand due to strong enrolment numbers at Lakehead University and Confederation College contribute to the demand picture, not-to-mention in-migration from Northwestern Ontario from retirees and education and/or job seekers. CMHC expects the vacancy rate to fall again in 2009 to 1.6 per cent before increasing to 2.0 in 2010 as resale market activity picks up bringing households out of rental housing into homeownership. Rents should escalate in 2009 and 2010 given continued strong demand for rental accommodation.

Developers have plans for condominium in 2010 and beyond. A steady supply condominium units coming onto the market over the last twenty years has given Thunder Bay a nice mix of housing. This type and tenure of housing gives the city some allure, especially as empty nesters from the region look to retire to this city. Pricing will be very important as this product is primarily targeted at empty nesters who do not typically want to pay more for a condo than what they obtain from the sale of the family home or other homeownership unit.

After hitting a record high in 2008, Thunder Bay sales have fallen 18 per cent in 2009. July was the only month to register a year-over-year increase in sales. Sales will fall twenty per cent in 2009 and CMHC estimates a relatively small six per cent increase next year to 1,400 sales. Expect a gradually improving economy as low mortgage rates will positively impact the market next year.

The shortage of active listings in the Thunder Bay existing home market will exert pressure on prices. Although sales are still reasonably solid given last year’s all-time record in the Thunder Bay market, the sales to active listings ratio is unquestionably in a strong balanced to seller’s market position. The supply- demand relationship will cause price appreciation to continue barring some unforeseen economic shock. Watch for average prices to rise four per cent in 2009 and another four per cent in 2010.

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Posted in CMHC, Canada, Thunder Bay

Governments of Canada and Yukon Celebrate New Affordable Housing in Teslin and Faro

Comments: 0November 5th, 2009 by admin

Posted by Moishe Alexander

The Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development Canada and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), along with Jim Kenyon, Minister Responsible for the Yukon Housing Corporation, today launched the construction phase of two new housing projects for seniors in Faro and Teslin.

The $4.7 million federal contribution to these projects comes through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, the government’s plan to stimulate the economy and create jobs during the global recession. Recognizing the distinctive needs of the North, Canada’s Economic Action Plan provides $200 million, over two years, including $50 million for Yukon, to support the renovation and the construction of new social housing units. Overall, the Economic Action Plan includes $2 billion for new and existing social housing, plus up to $2 billion in loans to municipalities for housing-related infrastructure.

“The Government of Canada is committed to providing Canadians a hand up to those who need it the most,” said Minister Finley. “Through this investment we are helping make an important difference in the lives of individuals and families in Faro and Teslin who are trying to build a better future for themselves.”

“With funding from Canada, Yukon government is launching several important housing projects in the territory,” said Minister Kenyon. “Access to affordable and accommodating housing gives seniors the option of staying in their community as they grow older. Faro and Teslin will benefit from retaining this important generation within their population.”

Canada’s Economic Action Plan (CEAP) will provide $2 million to construct a seniors’ residence in Faro, which has one of the highest ratio of seniors and near-seniors among Yukon’s municipalities. The residence will contain six 1-bedroom suites.

CEAP funding of $2.7 million was approved for seniors’ residence in Teslin. The residence will contain seven 1-bedroom suites and one 2-bedroom suite. Two of the seven units are for seniors with a disability.

Construction in both communities is underway and will continue throughout the winter, generating employment for trades. Completion is anticipated for the fall of 2010.

Both buildings are wood frame construction and feature SuperGreen energy efficiency standards and Accommodating Home standards for a barrier-free living environment.

Canada’s Economic Action Plan builds on the Government of Canada’s commitment in 2008 of more than $1.9 billion, over the next five years, to improve and build new affordable housing and help the homeless.

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Posted in CMHC, Canada, moishe alexander

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