Posts Tagged ‘edmonton’

January 13, 2009 — Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic down turn is affecting the Edmonton Alberta rental market

The Edmonton Alberta rental market is experiencing vacancy rate increases. In fact, the rental vacancy rate has increased substantially from 1.5% in 2007 to 2.4% in 2008.

It is tougher times for landlords in Edmonton Alberta to rent their units.

APARTMENT VACANCIES MOVE HIGHER IN 2008

Edmonton, Alberta - Credit Lana, Flickr

Edmonton, Alberta - Credit Lana, Flickr

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reported that the Edmonton Alberta area is experiencing an increased amount of vacancies in rental housing in all sectors. Much of this is attributed to migration out of the province of Alberta, which has seen over 1600 families leave the Edmonton Alberta area in 2008. CMHC attributes some of this up-turn in the vacancy rate to competition from secondary rental market of the units, and investor owned condominium apartment increases in 2008.

INCREASED SUPPLY OF PURPOSE-BUILT RENTAL UNITS

According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, private homeowners and investors in Edmonton Alberta have increased the rental housing stock by 21% for the first 10 months of 2008. This is caused a surplus of rental housing stock in the Edmonton Alberta area.

SECONDARY RENTAL MARKET IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT TO THE HOMEOWNER TO SUPPLEMENT THEIR INCOME DURING THIS WORLD ECONOMIC CRISIS

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report states that since there is a migration problem in Edmonton, and the unemployment rate is up 3.4%, a strong demand has occurred for rental units to be created by home owners, which is called the “secondary rental market”. Pressure is being excreted on the local municipality cities to relax their zoning and building codes to permit additional secondary rental units in private homes.

APARTMENT RENT INCREASES MODERATE IN 2008

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report states that last fall in Edmonton Alberta, a one-bedroom apartment that used to rent for $764.00 is now renting for $783.00 compared to the same period last year. A two-bedroom unit that rented last year for $744.00 are now renting for $762.00, which is approximately 25% increases.

Government sources say that with this increase cost, welfare recipients are hard pressed to rent anything in Edmonton Alberta.

INCENTIVES RETURN AS VACANCIES INCREASE

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation report that in 2007, and then in 2008, landlords have started offering tenants incentives for the first time in 15 years to rent apartments. Incentives often include benefits such as one-month free rent, or 2-year leases (with fixed rental payments), extra appliances, free cable TV, or free parking and or high-speed Internet.

RENTAL AFFORDABILITY INDICATOR

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation affordability indicator indicates that the value of 100 suggests that 30% of the median income of rental households is necessary to rent a two bedroom apartment, well above the Canadian average.

NATIONAL VACANCY RATE DECREASED IN OCTOBER 2008

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reports that the vacancy rate in Canada’s 34 major centers decreased to 2.2% from 2.6% in October of 2008, for the same period the year before. Vacancy rates were as high as 14.6% in Windsor to a low of 0.3% in Kelowna BC.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reports that the highest average monthly rent for a two bedroom apartment is in Calgary, Alberta with a monthly rental cost of $1,148.00 to a low of $543.00 in Sherbrooke, Quebec.

You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64379/64379_2008_A01.pdf

January 14, 2009 – Moishe Alexander’s review on how the current world economy and Canadian economic down turn is affecting the Edmonton Alberta housing market

Edmonton, Alberta - Credits PinkMoose, Flickr

Edmonton, Alberta - Credits PinkMoose, Flickr

The Edmonton Alberta Housing Market in new home sales is taking a huge downturn from the record levels 2008 by 56%. However, the housing market in Edmonton will start to recover in the latter part of 2009. The Canada Mortgage and Housing report that was released in the fourth quarter of 2008, shows a graph of the housing starts both ups and down in the Edmonton Alberta market.

SINGLE-DETACHED CONSTRUCTION TO IMPROVE IN 2009

The Canada Mortgage Housing Corporation reported that housing starts will dip 66% in 2009. This reduction in housing starts will also cause for new housing starts to drop from 3000 units to approximately 2600 units in 2009 in the Edmonton Alberta market.

With the demand that was previously high, the average time to build a detached home has increased over the past 7 years in Edmonton, from 6 months to just over 13 months. The average price for a new detached home in Edmonton Alberta has increased from $418,954.00 to $498,961.00, in 2009, which is an increase of 19% over the same period last year.

MULTIPLE DWELLING STARTS EASE IN 2009 OVER INVENTORY CONCERNS

The Edmonton Alberta real estate market after four years of double-digit price growth, like other housing markets in Canada, experienced extreme growth in 2007. However, there was a 23% decline in housing sales in the latter part of 2008. However, it is predicted in 2009 by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation that the sales will stabilize but still there will be a 32% reduction in sales, as compared to 2006 and 2007.

ECONOMY SOLID REGIONAL ECONOMIC FUNDEMENTALS

The economic and employment outlook for growth in the Edmonton Alberta area is predicted to reduce in 2009, and is projected to reduce more substantially then any other province as a whole by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, in their fourth quarter report in 2008.

However, the capital region, located in the central part of the province, and all other surrounding neighborhoods will generate substantial economic and employment growth throughout all of 2009. In fact, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predicts that area employment in Edmonton Alberta will grow by 2.4% in 2009, with new jobs being added in the high-tech, trade, healthcare, personal and other service related industry sectors.

Edmonton Alberta is one of the few regions that is still experiencing a shortage of workers, and is attempting to implement policies to encourage migration.

MORTGAGE RATES

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation predict that interest rates will decline by a further 25-50 basis points from their current levels in 2009. However, due to the cost of borrowing to the Canadian banks from the markets, the mortgage interest rate will marginally increase in the latter half of 2009, but not significantly enough to negatively affect the housing market in Edmonton Alberta.

You can find the entire report in PDF format through the following link:
http://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/odpub/esub/64343/64343_2008_B02.pdf