Posted by Moishe Alexander
Net migration is forecast to be negative in 2009 in the Windsor CMA. More people have moved away from the area each year since 2004 than have relocated to Windsor. This is expected to continue in 2010 with a net loss of nearly 1,400 people. The first impact can be seen in the rental market as renters are more mobile than owners.
In the rental market the average apartment vacancy rate in Windsor was 14.8 per cent in October 2008 and is expected to remain high in 2009. Contributing to the high vacancy rate are several factors such as higher unemployment among youth, out-migration in search of employment, and competition from homeownership. The average two bedroom apartment rent is forecast to remain flat in October 2009, as landlords refrain from raising rents in an effort to retain existing tenants.
The Windsor-Essex area is marketing the region abroad to boomers and retirees as an exceptional place to live. Visitors and residents extol the many recreational opportunities, affordable housing and temperate climate of the area in the hopes of attracting new residents.
Employment is a key factor supporting housing demand. Windsor’s employment levels have not dropped as sharply as anticipated. The area may be able to get through 2009 with less than a five per cent decline in jobs. However, combined with losses over the past couple of years the workforce has shrunk by almost eight per cent since 2006. Continuing economic weakness in the U.S. and the appreciating value of Canadian dollar are ongoing challenges for the manufacturing and tourism sectors. In turn this has had a detrimental affect on local consumer spending.
The economy has been slow to diversify, however some inroads are appearing. Interest in alternative green energy such as wind and solar are providing new manufacturin opportunities.Non-residential construction employment will grow in 2010 due to investment in major capital projects in the area.