Posts Tagged ‘availability’

Posted by Moshe Alexander

In 2001, the vacancy rate in Charlottetown reached a record low of 1.8 per cent, as the construction of rental units was somewhat limited throughout the 1990′s. In response to the low vacancy rate, local developers built higher levels of rental buildings from 2002 to 2006. This strong level of rental construction resulted in a rising vacancy rate from 2003 to 2007. Last fall this trend was reversed, as the vacancy rate declined for the first time in five years due to reduced rental construction in 2007 and 2008. However, the vacancy rate inched back up this year as rental starts are once again on the rise. The increased level of construction pushed the vacancy rate for apartment structures containing three or more units in the Charlottetown CA to 3.4 per cent up from 2.3 per cent last year. The October 2009 survey aggregated the rental information for 3,888 rental units in the Charlottetown area, which was up from the 2008 figure of 3,790 units. Of the surveyed units, 131 were vacant in 2009, compared to 86 vacant units during the same period last year. The 2009 survey revealed that vacancies among two-bedroom units, which make up the majority of the local rental universe, were higher with 78 vacant units, compared to 54 units last year. As a result, the vacancy rate for two-bedroom units rose to 3.1 per cent from 2.2 per cent last year. Among the other unit types the change was more pronounced. One- bedroom units recorded the largest change, as the vacancy rate for these units increased from 2.0 per cent last year to 4.4 per cent in 2009.

Overall, the average rent in Charlottetown was $658 per month in 2009. For the fourth year in a row, CMHC is measuring the change in rents for existing structures (i.e., those common to the current and previous years’ surveys). Focusing on existing structures excludes the impact of new structures added to the rental universe between surveys and provides a better indication of the rent increase for existing structures. For the Charlottetown CA, the average rent for all bedroom types in existing structures increased by 4.8 per cent in October 2009 compared to a year ago. This year’s increase of 4.8 per cent is very close to the 5.0 per cent increase allowed for heated premises by the Island Regulatory and Appeals Commission (IRAC), which manages residential rental increases on the Island. As most of the units in the Charlottetown area include heat in the rent, it is not unexpected that the actual increase mirrored the increase allowed by IRAC. In 2009, there was very little reason to discount rents now that all of the projects built over the past six years have been integrated into the market. Also, owners were looking to increase rents in an effort to make up for the high heating costs experienced in the 2007/2008 winter due to the rapid rise in the price of heating oil. There was a significant difference in the increase in two-bedroom rents recorded in Zone 1 (Downtown) and Zone 2 (Peripheral). In Zone 1, the average two-bedroom rent advanced by 3.9 per cent, while in Zone 2 the increase was more impressive at 5.8 per cent, as measured by the fixed sample.

In addition to the vacancy and rent data that is collected each year as part of the annual Rental Market Survey, landlords and property managers were asked about rental unit availability. A rental unit is considered available if the existing tenant has given, or has received, notice to move, and a new tenant has not signed a lease; or the unit is vacant. Based on the results from the 2009 Rental Market Survey, the availability rate in the Charlottetown CA moved up to 4.9 per cent in 2009 from last year’s level of 4.0 per cent. Within the CA, the availability rate was identical in both Zones 1 and 2 at 4.9 per cent. Among the different bedroom types, one-bedroom units posted the highest availability rate in 2009 at 5.8 per cent. The availability rate for bachelor and two-bedroom units was 4.8 per cent for both.

According to the 2009 Rental Market Survey, the largest apartment buildings in the Charlottetown area command the highest average rents and enjoy the lowest vacancy rates. In the October survey, apartment buildings in the Charlottetown area with between 50 and 99 units posted the lowest vacancy rate at 1.8 per cent, which was well below the overall vacancy rate of 3.4 per cent. The second largest buildings in the area, ranging from 20 to 49 units, also saw lower vacancies with a rate of 3.0 per cent. In addition to having the lowest vacancy rate, the largest buildings also commanded the highest average rents. Buildings with 50 to 99 units had an average rent of $760, while the smallest structures, those with three to five units recorded an average monthly rent of $608. This escalation of rents from smaller to larger buildings is logical, when considering that more amenities tend to be offered to tenants as the building size increases. These features such as elevators, underground parking, security measures and common rooms raise the construction and operating costs for owners, which in turn are passed on to tenants.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The vacancy rate among apartments with at least three units (3+) in the Thunder Bay Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) inched up to 2.3 per cent in October 2009, from 2.2 per cent last year, according to Rental Market Survey (RMS) data released in December by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). (See Table 1.1.1) With the October vacancy rate’s slight increase, Thunder Bay now becomes the CMA with the tenth lowest vacancy rate for 33 centres with populations over 100,000 in Canada. Northern Ontario’s other major centre, Sudbury saw its rate rise to 2.9 per cent from 0.7 per cent last year. Meanwhile, elsewhere in Northwestern Ontario, Kenora’s vacancy rate declined to 0.8 per cent from 1.7 per cent in October 2008.

The vacancy rate in Thunder Bay was up only slightly this year as several opposing forces came into play. Improvement in homeownership affordability caused by falling interest rates has encouraged some renters to become homeowners. Low ownership costs in Thunder Bay combined with rising apartment rents reduced the relative cost of homeownership – dampening demand for rental accommodation. There are other factors that have added to rental demand and exerted downward pressure on vacancy rates. Although there has been a long-term out-migration amongst the 18 to 24 renter aged group, important trends emerged recently. Employment in the service sector and 18-24 age groups have held up reasonably well, possibly exerting slight upward pressure on rental demand, as young adults are more likely to rent rather than own. Overall, employment has fallen 5.5 per cent over the past year between the 2008 and 2009 surveys. However, the brunt of the job losses has been in the goods-producing sector and the 25-44 age group, arguably sectors not directly associated with rental demand. Next, demand coming from students in post-secondary institutions has increased rental demand. Enrolment in post-secondary institutions has been growing in Thunder Bay. Less space in student housing has caused spillover in the private market creating demand for units located in proximity to Lakehead University and Confederation College. Laid off workers returning to school as mature students are creating additional demand for private rentals. In addition, recent data has indicated no new sources of rental supply. Going back to 1998, there have been few rental completions added to the supply of rental units in Thunder Bay.

The availability rate1 is a slightly broader measure of what landlords have available to market to prospective tenants. The availability rate refers to the percentage of apartments that are either vacant or for which the existing tenant has given or received notice to move. Once again, availability rates moved in the same direction as the vacancy rate in Thunder Bay. Thunder Bay’s availability rate rose to 3.1 per cent from 2.7 per cent in 2008. Only one of the 15 metropolitan areas in Ontario had a lower availability rate than Thunder Bay, namely Kingston (2.5 per cent). Higher availability rates are a result of higher turnover. (See Table 1.4.)

Posted by Moshe Alexander

Renters had an easier time finding rental accommodation in Vancouver this fall, compared to last year. Higher rental apartment vacancy rates have meant that renters have more choice. Although higher than last year, Vancouver’s vacancy rate is still below the national average and among the lowest in the country.

A slowdown in employment sent Vancouver’s rental apartment vacancy rate higher in 2009. The vacancy rate increased to 2.1 per cent, after sitting below one per cent for three consecutive years. Unemployment in the Vancouver Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) for the first ten months of 2009 increased to seven per cent from 4.3 per cent for the same period last year. Although employment has been gradually improving since the spring of this year, it has only been in the last couple months that full-time employment has grown.

A shift to homeownership also contributed to higher rental vacancy rates in 2009. A combination of low mortgage rates and home prices off their peak value has meant that monthly mortgage payments are lower. As of September 2009, the average monthly mortgage payment for an apartment condominium was approximately ten per cent less than it was one year ago3. Although the average mortgage payment is still higher than the average monthly rental payment, some renters have chosen to take this opportunity to enter homeownership.
Virtually all communities in the Metro Vancouver area saw an increase in vacancies in 2009. The only exception to this was the University Endowment Lands (UEL). The vacancy rate in the UEL, along with several areas of Vancouver City and North Vancouver, remained tight, below one per cent in October 2009.Vancouver City, with its educational infrastructure and job opportunities in the business centre, and the lifestyle communities of West Vancouver and White Rock recorded vacancy rates just over one per cent.Vacancies increased in all other municipalities, with suburban communities north of the Fraser River near three per cent, and communities south of the Fraser, in the 4-6 per cent range.

The rental availability rate4 for private rental apartments moved higher in 2009. The availability rate increased to 2.8 per cent in October 2009, from 1.1 per cent a year earlier. The vacancy rate for investor-owned rental condominiums increased in 2009, but to a lesser extent than that for purpose-built rental units. The rental condominium vacancy rate moved up to 1.7 per cent from 0.6 per cent last fall. The stock of rental condominiums is generally newer and features more amenities than their purpose-built rental counterparts. These benefits shore up demand for rental condominiums.