Posts Tagged ‘area’

Posted by Moshe Alexander

In 2001, the vacancy rate in Charlottetown reached a record low of 1.8 per cent, as the construction of rental units was somewhat limited throughout the 1990′s. In response to the low vacancy rate, local developers built higher levels of rental buildings from 2002 to 2006. This strong level of rental construction resulted in a rising vacancy rate from 2003 to 2007. Last fall this trend was reversed, as the vacancy rate declined for the first time in five years due to reduced rental construction in 2007 and 2008. However, the vacancy rate inched back up this year as rental starts are once again on the rise. The increased level of construction pushed the vacancy rate for apartment structures containing three or more units in the Charlottetown CA to 3.4 per cent up from 2.3 per cent last year. The October 2009 survey aggregated the rental information for 3,888 rental units in the Charlottetown area, which was up from the 2008 figure of 3,790 units. Of the surveyed units, 131 were vacant in 2009, compared to 86 vacant units during the same period last year. The 2009 survey revealed that vacancies among two-bedroom units, which make up the majority of the local rental universe, were higher with 78 vacant units, compared to 54 units last year. As a result, the vacancy rate for two-bedroom units rose to 3.1 per cent from 2.2 per cent last year. Among the other unit types the change was more pronounced. One- bedroom units recorded the largest change, as the vacancy rate for these units increased from 2.0 per cent last year to 4.4 per cent in 2009.

Overall, the average rent in Charlottetown was $658 per month in 2009. For the fourth year in a row, CMHC is measuring the change in rents for existing structures (i.e., those common to the current and previous years’ surveys). Focusing on existing structures excludes the impact of new structures added to the rental universe between surveys and provides a better indication of the rent increase for existing structures. For the Charlottetown CA, the average rent for all bedroom types in existing structures increased by 4.8 per cent in October 2009 compared to a year ago. This year’s increase of 4.8 per cent is very close to the 5.0 per cent increase allowed for heated premises by the Island Regulatory and Appeals Commission (IRAC), which manages residential rental increases on the Island. As most of the units in the Charlottetown area include heat in the rent, it is not unexpected that the actual increase mirrored the increase allowed by IRAC. In 2009, there was very little reason to discount rents now that all of the projects built over the past six years have been integrated into the market. Also, owners were looking to increase rents in an effort to make up for the high heating costs experienced in the 2007/2008 winter due to the rapid rise in the price of heating oil. There was a significant difference in the increase in two-bedroom rents recorded in Zone 1 (Downtown) and Zone 2 (Peripheral). In Zone 1, the average two-bedroom rent advanced by 3.9 per cent, while in Zone 2 the increase was more impressive at 5.8 per cent, as measured by the fixed sample.

In addition to the vacancy and rent data that is collected each year as part of the annual Rental Market Survey, landlords and property managers were asked about rental unit availability. A rental unit is considered available if the existing tenant has given, or has received, notice to move, and a new tenant has not signed a lease; or the unit is vacant. Based on the results from the 2009 Rental Market Survey, the availability rate in the Charlottetown CA moved up to 4.9 per cent in 2009 from last year’s level of 4.0 per cent. Within the CA, the availability rate was identical in both Zones 1 and 2 at 4.9 per cent. Among the different bedroom types, one-bedroom units posted the highest availability rate in 2009 at 5.8 per cent. The availability rate for bachelor and two-bedroom units was 4.8 per cent for both.

According to the 2009 Rental Market Survey, the largest apartment buildings in the Charlottetown area command the highest average rents and enjoy the lowest vacancy rates. In the October survey, apartment buildings in the Charlottetown area with between 50 and 99 units posted the lowest vacancy rate at 1.8 per cent, which was well below the overall vacancy rate of 3.4 per cent. The second largest buildings in the area, ranging from 20 to 49 units, also saw lower vacancies with a rate of 3.0 per cent. In addition to having the lowest vacancy rate, the largest buildings also commanded the highest average rents. Buildings with 50 to 99 units had an average rent of $760, while the smallest structures, those with three to five units recorded an average monthly rent of $608. This escalation of rents from smaller to larger buildings is logical, when considering that more amenities tend to be offered to tenants as the building size increases. These features such as elevators, underground parking, security measures and common rooms raise the construction and operating costs for owners, which in turn are passed on to tenants.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

Demand for privately-initiated rental apartment units in the Windsor Census Metropolitan Area (CMA), switched gears and increased in 2009. The high vacancy rate declined from the record 14.6 per cent in October 2008 to 13.0 per cent in October 2009.Vacancy rates were lower for all apartment types except bachelors, where the vacancy rate increased to 16.9 per cent. Several key factors have contributed to the turnaround in the number of vacant rental apartments in Windsor this fall despite a slightly larger supply. Migration is a key factor in housing demand and outmigration from the Windsor area has lessened. Low unemployment rates draw migrants to a centre in search of work. Windsor’s unemployment rate has been well above the provincial average over the last five years. Not only has this poor employment scenario meant fewer people were moving to Windsor, it has also meant Windsor residents moved elsewhere in search of work. Now that the future regarding the Big Three auto makers is more stable and there is more positive news of upcoming employment opportunities, the number of people leaving the Windsor area is estimated to have peaked in 2008. Higher student enrollment has also exerted downward pressure on rental vacancy rates. In times of high unemployment and with the current government programs promoting retraining, both the University of Windsor and St. Clair College have recorded record high enrolment this fall. Many of these students turn to the rental market for accommodation. Many renters took advantage of favourable buying conditions to enter the homeownership market over the past two years as borrowing rates were low and home prices in the Windsor area were negotiable. As the bulk of this first-time buyer segment has moved through the market at this time, fewer renters were leaving this fall as prices began to recover. In contrast, renters were still leaving the townhouse segment due to the higher rents. The rent for a three-bedroom townhouse averaged $934 in October 2009, an amount which would easily allow for a monthly mortgage payment on a starter home in Windsor. The total vacancy rate for townhouse units increased from 11.7 per cent in 2008 to 12.5 per cent in 2009.

Vacancy rates were lower throughout the zones that make up the Windsor CMA. Downtown Windsor, Zone 1, declined slightly from 17.5 per cent the previous year to 15.6 per cent in 2009. The vacancy rate decreased for one and two bedroom units and was higher for bachelor units. Often renters move up to larger units as they become available. However, very high youth unemployment meant that demand was low for the most affordable rental accommodation. Zone 1 has traditionally had a higher vacancy rate than any other Windsor zone in part due to the large proportion of older structures which often require more repairs and therefore may be considered less desirable by potential tenants. On a positive note, the opening of a satellite campus for St. Clair College’s school of art and design brought about 200 students to the downtown this fall. Further expansion plans in conjunction with the University of Windsor’s music, theatre and fine arts programs could bring a further 700 students to the area within the next two years. The vacancy rate for one bedroom apartments was highest in Zone 2 at 18.9 per cent. This zone has a number of smaller buildings with primarily one bedroom apartments. Smaller buildings, such as those with less than 20 units tend to have higher vacancies during periods of oversupply as tenants have options and preferences for larger buildings which tend to have more security, and professional on-site management. Rents for one bedroom units in this zone remain low in an attempt to lure new tenants or retain existing occupants. Traditionally in Windsor the most popular location for renters to choose is Zone 3- East Outer which had the lowest overall vacancy rate in the City at 10.5 per cent, as well as the lowest one bedroom vacancy rate at 8.5 per cent. The latter was significantly lower than the one-bedroom vacancy rates in surrounding zones. This zone includes larger buildings with prime locations along the river which are more attractive to tenants. These buildings offer newer units and professional on-site management. As well the larger property management firms have the resources available to offer rental incentives which many smaller landlords do not.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The rental market eased in the Trois- Rivières CMA this year. According to the results of the Rental Market Survey conducted in October by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the proportion of unoccupied units reached 2.7 per cent, compared to 1.7 per cent in the fall of 2008. In so doing, the vacancy rate surpassed the 2-per-cent mark for the first time since 2002. This increase, the third in as many years and the largest, reflects a certain easing of the market. In fact, since 2003, rental market conditions had been particularly tight in the Trois- Rivières area, with the proportion of vacant units hovering around 1.5 per cent. It should be noted however average for the last 20 years (5 per cent). In the fall of 2009, 435 units were vacant (compared to 273 in October 2008) out of a total stock of 16,276 apartments contained in privately initiated buildings with three or more housing units. Many new units and a

The low vacancy rates registered in the area for the past several years greatly stimulated rental housing construction. Until now, this additional supply had been just counterbalanced by the strong demand, which was attributable to the dynamic migration. In 2009, however, rental housing construction maintained the same pace, but demand declined slightly. The weaker job market in the Trois- Rivières area therefore removed the upward pressure on rental housing demand. For one thing, the economic uncertainty that has been looming over Trois-Rivières for several quarters has forced some workers to leave this area for another. At the same time, this economic environment has made the area less attractive in the eyes of job seekers from other areas. Consequently, the supply of housing units exceeded demand, which pushed up the vacancy rate. In addition, financing conditions, which have rarely been so favourable, prompted a few renter households to access homeownership. Given the low mortgage rates, some may even have moved up their decision to buy, which, in turn, vacated a few rental dwellings.

In October 2009, stable rental market conditions were noted in four of the six CMAs in the province, as the Québec, Gatineau, Montréal and Saguenay areas did not register any significant change in their vacancy rates compared to October 2008. This past October, the Sherbrooke CMA had the highest vacancy rate in the province (3.9 per cent), followed by Trois-Rivières (2.7 per cent), Montréal (2.5 per cent), Gatineau (2.2 per cent), Saguenay (1.5 per cent) and Québec (0.6 per cent).

While the vacancy rates went up in all sectors of the CMA, Downtown and Bécancour stood out. In fact, these two zones, which had the highest vacancy rates in the CMA, were responsible for the increase in the overall vacancy rate. In October 2009, the proportions of unoccupied units reached 5.0 per cent in the Downtown zone and 9.1 per cent in Bécancour. When the market eases, the Downtown zone is quite often the first to see its vacancy rate rise. This is due to the fact that its housing stock is older. It has been noted that, as units are vacated in other sectors of the CMA, tenants leave their Downtown dwellings for these units, which are often newer and more modern. In Bécancour, the market seems to have been experiencing difficulties since the closing of a plant in this zone. However, the upcoming commissioning of the Twin Rivers Technologies oilseed crushing plant and the construction of a complex for the production of polycrystalline silicon for the solar panel industry in the industrial and harbour park should give a boost to this zone and put upward pressure on housing demand there.

Elsewhere in the CMA, the vacancy rates remained relatively low. The proportions of unoccupied units reached 2.5 per cent in Cap-de-la- Madeleine and Saint-Louis-de-France and 2.1 per cent in the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières sector, where demand for rental housing stays relatively constant in any given year, thanks to the presence of the university and the Cegep. Lastly, the vacancy rates attained 2.0 per cent in the North sector and 1.6 per cent in Trois-Rivières-Ouest.