Posts Tagged ‘apartment’

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The vacancy rate for private rental apartment buildings with three or more units in the St. Catharines- Niagara CMA (hereinafter Niagara) was above the national and historical averages. According to the CMHC’s Fall 2009 Rental Market Survey, the vacancy rate edged up to 4.4 per cent in 2009. This was above the 20-year average level of 3.5 per cent, and an increase of 0.1 percentage point from last year. Four main factors placed upward pressure on the vacancy rate. First, record low mortgage rates in combination with lower prices in the earlier part of the year translated into very affordable mortgage carrying costs. Many buyers, in particular first- time buyers, took advantage and moved out of rental accommodation and into home ownership. A comparison of average rents and mortgage carrying costs based on the mortgage terms chosen by most first-time buyers (i.e., maximum amortization period and the minimum down payment allowed) suggests that the gap between the two narrowed by more than 50 per cent in the first quarter of 2009.

Also, youth aged 15 to 24 are a key source of rental demand. Weaker employment among youth in this age group meant that some of them, after losing their jobs, moved back into their parents’ homes, or alternatively, postponed a decision to move out. Total employment for all age groups declined by around 11,000 people or 5.6 per cent when comparing the average level in the 12 months ending September 2009 to average level in the same period a year earlier.Youth employment declined by 4,500 people or 14 per cent, of which 2,900 in full- time positions and the rest in part- time jobs.

Finally, there were fewer international immigrants in 2009, due to the global economic slowdown. Since they traditionally tend to rent after landing in Canada, this implies that rental demand in 2009 was not as strong as in the previous years. Many international migrants find it difficult to settle in the region and land a job. Instead, they prefer to settle in major centres, such as the Greater Toronto Area, where they are more likely to find their first job and where there are established social networks.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

Demand for rental apartments in both the Kitchener and Guelph CMAs decreased in October 2009. The average vacancy rate for privately- initiated rental apartments in the Kitchener CMA increased to 3.3 per cent from 1.8 per cent in October 2008. In the Guelph CMA, the vacancy rate rose to 4.1 per cent from 2.3 per cent last October.

A number of factors, both demographic and economic, contributed to the decreased demand for rental accommodations. These factors included renters moving to home ownership, higher unemployment and lower demand from young adults. Although the main reason vacancy rates were up was a decrease in demand, additional rental housing which was not completed in time to be included in the survey but was available for occupancy before the survey also had some impact.

Many first-time buyers made the move to home ownership and vacated their rental units in 2009. Mortgage rates decreased to their lowest level in more than 60 years. With the uncertainty in the economy, home price growth was limited. As a result, mortgage carrying costs became more affordable. First-time homebuyers who had remained on the sidelines in the final quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009, propelled sales of existing homes to strong levels in the second and third quarters of 2009.

Employment in the Kitchener CMA for the first three quarters of 2009 declined by 1.4 per cent, or 3,600 jobs, compared to the same period in 2008. All of the jobs lost were full time. Unemployment increased across all age groups. The unemployment rate for youth jumped to 15 per cent. Those in the 15-24 age group typically rent. Consequently, many youth chose to remain at home or double up with other rental households, resulting in more vacant units.

In the Guelph CMA, employment decreased by 2,600 jobs, or 3.4 per cent. As in the Kitchener CMA, unemployment increased across all age groups. Some rental households doubled up or made alternative living arrangements. As a result, fewer rental units were occupied.

Posted by Moshe Alexander

The rental market eased in the Trois- Rivières CMA this year. According to the results of the Rental Market Survey conducted in October by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the proportion of unoccupied units reached 2.7 per cent, compared to 1.7 per cent in the fall of 2008. In so doing, the vacancy rate surpassed the 2-per-cent mark for the first time since 2002. This increase, the third in as many years and the largest, reflects a certain easing of the market. In fact, since 2003, rental market conditions had been particularly tight in the Trois- Rivières area, with the proportion of vacant units hovering around 1.5 per cent. It should be noted however average for the last 20 years (5 per cent). In the fall of 2009, 435 units were vacant (compared to 273 in October 2008) out of a total stock of 16,276 apartments contained in privately initiated buildings with three or more housing units. Many new units and a

The low vacancy rates registered in the area for the past several years greatly stimulated rental housing construction. Until now, this additional supply had been just counterbalanced by the strong demand, which was attributable to the dynamic migration. In 2009, however, rental housing construction maintained the same pace, but demand declined slightly. The weaker job market in the Trois- Rivières area therefore removed the upward pressure on rental housing demand. For one thing, the economic uncertainty that has been looming over Trois-Rivières for several quarters has forced some workers to leave this area for another. At the same time, this economic environment has made the area less attractive in the eyes of job seekers from other areas. Consequently, the supply of housing units exceeded demand, which pushed up the vacancy rate. In addition, financing conditions, which have rarely been so favourable, prompted a few renter households to access homeownership. Given the low mortgage rates, some may even have moved up their decision to buy, which, in turn, vacated a few rental dwellings.

In October 2009, stable rental market conditions were noted in four of the six CMAs in the province, as the Québec, Gatineau, Montréal and Saguenay areas did not register any significant change in their vacancy rates compared to October 2008. This past October, the Sherbrooke CMA had the highest vacancy rate in the province (3.9 per cent), followed by Trois-Rivières (2.7 per cent), Montréal (2.5 per cent), Gatineau (2.2 per cent), Saguenay (1.5 per cent) and Québec (0.6 per cent).

While the vacancy rates went up in all sectors of the CMA, Downtown and Bécancour stood out. In fact, these two zones, which had the highest vacancy rates in the CMA, were responsible for the increase in the overall vacancy rate. In October 2009, the proportions of unoccupied units reached 5.0 per cent in the Downtown zone and 9.1 per cent in Bécancour. When the market eases, the Downtown zone is quite often the first to see its vacancy rate rise. This is due to the fact that its housing stock is older. It has been noted that, as units are vacated in other sectors of the CMA, tenants leave their Downtown dwellings for these units, which are often newer and more modern. In Bécancour, the market seems to have been experiencing difficulties since the closing of a plant in this zone. However, the upcoming commissioning of the Twin Rivers Technologies oilseed crushing plant and the construction of a complex for the production of polycrystalline silicon for the solar panel industry in the industrial and harbour park should give a boost to this zone and put upward pressure on housing demand there.

Elsewhere in the CMA, the vacancy rates remained relatively low. The proportions of unoccupied units reached 2.5 per cent in Cap-de-la- Madeleine and Saint-Louis-de-France and 2.1 per cent in the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières sector, where demand for rental housing stays relatively constant in any given year, thanks to the presence of the university and the Cegep. Lastly, the vacancy rates attained 2.0 per cent in the North sector and 1.6 per cent in Trois-Rivières-Ouest.