The Government of Canada, the Government of Ontario, and the County of Wellington celebrated the grand opening of 55 affordable rental units. The project is supported by more than $3.8 million in funding through the Canada – Ontario Affordable Housing Program.

The Honourable Michael Chong, Member of Parliament for Wellington – Halton Hills, on behalf of the Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), and John Wilkinson, Member of Provincial Parliament for Perth – Wellington, on behalf of Jim Bradley, Ontario’s Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing, along with Joanne Ross-Zuj, County of Wellington Warden made the announcement.

“Our Government is dedicated to giving a hand-up to those in need, which is why we are proud to have invested in this project in Fergus,” said MP Michael Chong. “These 55 units are more than just safe and affordable places to live. They are the key to a better life for the families and individual that will call them home.”

“The province of Ontario is committed to helping people who live on lower or fixed incomes stay in their home communities,” said MPP John Wilkinson. “These 55 new affordable accessible rental units are going to make a positive difference in the lives of these individuals and families. The construction is part of our Open Ontario plan to create jobs and economic opportunities in the County of Wellington.”

“The County of Wellington is dedicated to helping all of our residents find a comfortable and safe place to call home,” said Warden Joanne Ross-Zuj. “Ownership of Fergusson Place by the County ensures that long-term quality, affordable housing will be available to residents needing assistance. Through construction projects like these, the County continues to create jobs and stimulate our local economy.”

Fergusson Place, a 55-unit project located at 165 Gordon Street in Fergus, Wellington County, received more than $3.8 million through the Canada – Ontario Affordable Housing Program. The building is occupied by persons with special needs, singles and families. The federal and provincial funding is complemented by $5.7 million in municipal capital funding.

The Canada – Ontario Affordable Housing Program Agreement comprises a commitment of $301 million from each of the two senior levels of government. In total, the federal, provincial and municipal governments will invest at least $734 million in the program, which will provide affordable housing for up to 20,000 households in Ontario.

In 2008, the Government of Canada committed more than $1.9 billion over five years to improve and build new affordable housing and to help the homeless. Canada’s Economic Action Plan builds on this with an additional one-time investment of more than $2 billion over two years for new and existing social housing, plus up to $2 billion in loans to municipalities for housing-related infrastructure. Combined for Ontario, this means a further $1.2 billion joint investment under the amended Canada – Ontario Affordable Housing Program Agreement. The federal and provincial governments are contributing equally to this overall investment.

In 2009, Ontario allocated a combined federal and provincial investment of $704 million for the renovation of social housing, and $540 million for the construction of new affordable housing. This investment is part of the Open Ontario plan, and will generate an estimated 23,000 jobs over the course of the program, while strengthening local economies across the province. To date, Ontario has approved more than $465 million for construction-ready projects, which will provide affordable housing for low-income families, senior citizens, and persons with disabilities, and $351.9 million for repairs benefiting some 148,000 social housing units.

The Government of Canada announced today that a housing co-operative located in British Columbia will receive more than $54,000, through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, as part of the social housing renovation and retrofit investments.

“Through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, our government is taking action to help ensure our economic recovery and create the conditions for long-term growth,” said the Honourable Stockwell Day, President of the Treasury Board and Minister for the Asia-Pacific Gateway, on behalf of the Honourable Diane Finley, Minister of Human Resources and Skills Development and Minister Responsible for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). “Funding renovation and retrofit projects, like this one, will not only improve the quality of life of its residents by keeping their homes safe and affordable, but it will also help stimulate the local economy and create local jobs.”

The Government of Canada, through Canada’s Economic Action Plan, announced $1 billion for social housing renovation and retrofit.  Of the $1 billion, $850 million is being delivered by provinces and territories on a cost-matched basis for existing federally assisted social housing projects which they administer on behalf of the partnership. The remaining $150 million is being delivered by CMHC for existing federally assisted off-reserve housing which it directly administers. Eligible repairs include general improvements, energy efficiency upgrades or conversions, and modifications in support of persons with disabilities.

The Phoenix Court Co-operativewill be using the contribution from the Government of Canada to complete disability modifications, and to replace baseboard heaters and appliances.

“We congratulate and thank the federal government and Minister Finley for making a sound investment to help ensure that this affordable community is preserved as a legacy for the long-term benefit of its residents, “said Ken Elliott, President of the Co-operative Housing Federation of Canada. “Today’s announcement is an excellent example of stimulus funding that works towards preserving jobs, assisting the local economy, and protecting valuable affordable housing assets for Canadians.”

The slackness in the resale market coupled with the slowing economy will directly impact the new home market. Single-detached starts will fall to 190 units in 2009 and 180 in 2010, as the market comes more into line with long-term demographic requirements. CMHC expects 210 row, condominium and apartment starts in 2009 and another 160 in 2010.

After rising 4.3 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively in 2007 and 2008, the New Home Price Index for Sudbury-Thunder Bay will rise in 2009 and 2010 but only modestly given the slowdown in demand.

Developers have plans for condominium development in 2010. Pricing will be very important as this product is primarily targeted at empty nesters who do not typically want to pay more for a condo that what they obtain from the sale of a homeownership unit.

As is well known, the vacancy rate has fallen from a peak of 11.1 per cent in 1999. A tight market partially brought on by a lack of new rental construction and demand pressure has finally resulted in some development of rental housing in Greater Sudbury. Vacancy rates rose slightly in April and will also increase this October before falling again to 1.3 per cent in 2010 as the economy begins improving. Strong enrolment figures at the three Sudbury-based post-secondary institutions will contribute to the tight market conditions. Rents should continue to escalate in 2009 and 2010 given continued strong demand for rental accommodation.

After plateauing in 2006-2007, Sudbury sales fell 13 per cent in 2008 and have fallen a further 26 per cent to the end of September. Sales will certainly continue this downward trend in 2009. Given the buyer’s market conditions, CMHC estimates a 27 per cent drop in existing home transactions when the year is complete. Sales will drop a further six per cent in 2010 as the market moves towards a balanced position.

The sale to new listings ratio, an indicator of the existing home market behaviour, is improving. After growing in the third quarter, Sudbury’s market will keep an upward trend, increasing its temperature. CMHC expects this ratio to end the year approaching 50 per cent, indicating that prices will adjust all the way into next year.

According to local sources, demand is greatest in the price ranges under 200,000 while the upper end of the market (>$400.000) has not been greatly affected. Prices have been falling since mid-year 2008 after rising to unsustainably high levels over the prior four years. The price decrease will continue into 2010 but will be tempered by falling listings. Watch for average prices to fall 5.5 per cent in 2009 and level off in 2010.

Given the adjustment in home prices, there has been improvement in required income to purchase a home. Unfortunately, with the slowing economy, the adjustment to incomes has been stronger. As a result the net impact on affordability will decrease somewhat in 2010 after improving in 2009. Nonetheless, there are buyers in the market searching for lower priced homes.

Greater Sudbury has experienced a strike at Vale Inco, one of the biggest mining companies in the community. Consequently employment will decline 1.2 per cent in 2009 and recover only slightly, 0.5 per cent in 2010. The combination of job loss and labour force growth have caused the unemployment rate to head north, and will approach on average nine per cent this year and next.

After an increase of nearly nine per cent in 2008, average weekly earnings will drop this year declining three per cent and fall a more modest 0.5 per cent in 2010. Removing a relatively high proportion of mining and mining- related incomes from the mix would have had a downward impact on average weekly earnings over the course of this year.

In the short term local economic uncertainty will impact housing demand. However, the current commodity price rebound will form a solid long term foundation for growth in the broader Sudbury economy. Despite the current weakness in the Sudbury economy, some economic development plans are still moving ahead.

Migration has been positive of late, while natural increase is trending down. In-migration will trend downward in 2009 and 2010 prior to recovery in 2011. Mining workers affected by work stoppages may contemplate relocating if the national economy begins to improve, generating opportunities elsewhere.

The Bank of Canada cut the Target for the Overnight Rate in the early months of 2009. The rate was 1.50 per cent at the start of 2009 and has since fallen to 0.25 per cent. The Bank has committed to keeping this rate at 0.25 per cent through the middle of 2010 unless inflationary pressures warrant an increase.

Mortgage rates have fallen over the course of 2009, but are now expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Posted mortgage rates will gradually increase through 2010, but will do so at a slow pace. For 2010, the one-year posted mortgage rate will be in the 3.50-4.25 per cent range, while three and five-year posted mortgage rates are forecast to be in the 4.50-6.00 per cent range.